Maccabi vs Real Madrid (Euroleague): odds and picks 22.10.2025

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Maccabi Tel Aviv
Real Madrid
Euroleague @ 22.10.2025

This is always an electric matchup, this time in Belgrade (Aleksandar Nikolić Hall) due to Maccabi’s alternate home court status. I come in with a clear idea: the pace will be set by the outside players. If Brown/Baldwin push possessions and open up corners, the game will get out of control. If Madrid imposes rebounding and half-court play, their skill will weigh heavily in the closing minutes.

Key factors: turnover management (threshold 11-12), defensive rebounding to cut off second chances, and defending the central block on Campazzo/Musa and Brown/Baldwin. I’m leaning towards the Whites’ solidity away from home: with Tavares protecting the rim and Deck holding down the wings, the margin for error is greater even if the three-pointer doesn’t fall.

Information: date, time and where to watch the game

  • Competition: Euroleague
  • Date: Wednesday 22 October

Odds for the winner of the Maccabi vs Real Madrid match

ResultOdds
Maccabi wins2.70
Real Madrid wins1.45

 (Reference odds; may vary until the time of the match)

The market favours Real Madrid: greater depth, physical advantage in the paint and more reliable defenders. Maccabi has a chance if it scores early from outside and forces a shootout.

Latest on Maccabi

Maccabi arrives in good competitive form and with an elite backcourt. At home, they compete better when they run after long rebounds and find three-pointers with their feet planted. The plan is to match up physically on the wings and punish any excess help from Madrid.

Probable starting five and key players

  • Point guard: Lorenzo Brown
  • Shooting guard: Wade Baldwin IV
  • Small forward: Bonzie Colson
  • Power forward: James Webb III
  • Centre: Roman Sorkin

Brown/Baldwin in charge of pick-and-roll to collapse and double; Colson punishes closeouts; Webb III stretches the court from 45º; Sorkin runs and provides second options. DiBartolomeo/Blatt provide control from the bench; Menco adds size on the wings.

Maccabi: breaking news

Watch out for fouls by the five: when Sorkin gets fouled out, they lose presence on the glass and their help defence suffers. They will look to force free throws and increase possessions. If the 3P exceeds 37% with volume, the script really balances out.

Current situation in the Euroleague

They started with high peaks at home. When they force 12+ turnovers and convert in transition, they rack up long runs. They suffer more in five-on-five if they can’t find quick advantages or second options.

Latest news on Real Madrid

Solid away version: rebounding, rim defence and selective transitions. I like how they are closing out games without the need for individual displays: the plan is stable and repeatable.

Probable starting five and key players

  • Point guard: Facundo Campazzo
  • Shooting guard: Dzanan Musa
  • Small forward: Gabriel Deck
  • Power forward: Trey Lyles / Chuma Okeke
  • Centre: Walter Tavares

Campazzo dictates the pace and punishes help defence; Musa is lethal in the mid-court; Deck provides physical balance; at the 4, he shoots to clear the paint; Tavares controls everything on both boards. Llull and the second unit maintain the threat and raise the defensive intensity in stretches.

Real Madrid: breaking news

Objective: ≤11 turnovers and control of their own rebounds. Key health factor: avoid early fouls on Tavares to maintain the inside advantage. Tactical signal: load the corners when Maccabi collapses the central block.

Current situation in the Euroleague

Convincing start. With average percentages on three-pointers and dominance on the glass, they manage their advantages without suffering. When they cross 36% on three-pointers, the game becomes very favourable for them, even as visitors.

Recent clashes between Maccabi and Real Madrid

The recent head-to-head goes to the Whites, with several games decided after the break: defence, rebound control and transition points have been the recipe for success. Maccabi has competed when it has pushed the pace and lived off a three-point streak; if the accuracy drops, Madrid imposes its game plan.

Summary of key factors in this match

  • Pace: back and forth favours Maccabi; half court favours Madrid.
  • Pick & roll: Brown/Baldwin vs Campazzo/Musa, focus of help defence.
  • Rebounding: Sorkin/Webb III vs Tavares/Deck, decisive battle.
  • Losses (threshold 11-12) to avoid giving away the transition.
  • Three-pointers: barometer of the match (>36% changes the script).
  • Fouls by the 5: they determine the rotation of both teams.

Maccabi vs Real Madrid: our prediction

Conservative bet (odds 1.30-1.45): Real Madrid to win (1.45). I see the Whites as more consistent in the middle of the court and with a clear advantage in rebounding. If they control turnovers and the 5 avoids getting fouled out, they should be able to impose their plan without needing a magical night from outside.
Risky bet (odds >3.00): Real Madrid wins by 6-10 points (3.40-3.90). Plausible scenario: back and forth until 28-30′, then a run by the Whites based on defence and two three-pointers in rhythm. Maccabi competes with the atmosphere, but Madrid manages a short cushion until the buzzer.
Real Madrid to win
Category Basketball
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