Real Madrid vs ASVEL (Euroleague): odds and picks 09.10.2025

A tricky match at the WiZink for Madrid, who, in theory, are far superior, but arrive with a busy schedule and limited rotation. At home, the Whites impose their physicality, rebounding and reading of the game in the middle of the court; ASVEL need a very good day from the three-point line to keep up.

Key factors: managing minutes after a doubleheader and travel, controlling the rebound (Tavares/Poiri­er should make the difference) and keeping turnovers below 11 to avoid giving away transition points. If Madrid dominates the glass and selects its outside shots well, the game will go its way; if ASVEL tightens up its defence and runs, it will be a close contest.

Information: date, time and where to watch the game

• Competition: Euroleague
• Date: Thursday 9 October

Odds for the winner of the Real Madrid vs ASVEL match

 (Reference odds; may vary until the start of the match)

Latest news on Real Madrid

Feeling of a solid unit: well-drilled defence, dominance on the boards and points from several players. The only downside is the heavy schedule, which forces them to rotate their outside players and pace themselves in the five. At the WiZink, they usually start strong and the third quarter is decisive.

Probable starting five and key players

• Point guard: Facundo Campazzo
• Shooting guard: Dzanan Musa
• Small forward: Gabriel Deck
• Power forward: Trey Lyles / Chuma Okeke
• Centre: Walter Tavares

Campazzo sets the pace and punishes help defence; Musa is pure scoring; Deck brings physicality to the wings. At the four, Lyles/Okeke stretch the court to free up Tavares in the paint. From the bench, Llull and the second unit maintain the threat and raise the intensity at key moments.

Real Madrid: breaking news

Some players are nursing injuries, but there is a long rotation to compensate. The plan is clear: protect the basket, run after steals and punish ASVEL’s over-help with open shots. If Tavares avoids early fouls, the advantage in rebounding should be evident.

Current situation in the Euroleague

A solid start with no need for peaks of accuracy to win. At home, the combination of defence + controlled transition gives them 6-0/8-0 runs after timeouts. When they exceed 36% in T3 and dominate the glass, they are almost unbeatable.

ASVEL latest

A competitive team with perimeter scoring and an open 4 who can stretch the defence. My concern is their consistency for 40 minutes away from home and defensive rebounding when the opponent has big players inside. They need a high tempo, forced turnovers and accuracy from the corners.

Probable starting five and key players

• Point guard: Paris Lee / Joe Ragland
• Shooting guard: Frank Jackson
• Small forward: David Lighty
• Power forward: Timothé Luwawu-Cabarrot / Joffrey Lauvergne (small-ball/open five)
• Centre: Youssoupha Fall / John Egbunu

Game plan: lots of pick-and-rolls to collapse and double up on shooters; Jackson as a microwave; Lighty to match up physically; a five who protects the rim and closes out rebounds. If they find second chances and clean transitions, their ceiling rises.

ASVEL: breaking news

Rotation with some players wrapped in cotton wool, but focus on pushing up the lines and cutting the opponent’s rhythm. They will want to punish Madrid’s losses and attack early before the defence settles. If the centre gets fouled out, they suffer from their glass and concede easy shots.

Current situation in the Euroleague

A slow start; they struggle away from home when they don’t run. In half-court games, they rely too much on the accuracy of their 1-2. Their plan is to speed up, force free throws and live off the three-pointer in transition.

Recent encounters between Real Madrid and ASVEL

The last five official clashes have gone the way of the Whites by an average margin of 10-15 points. The pattern: Madrid imposing their physicality and reading the game, ASVEL resisting in bursts when they find outside shots. At the WiZink, the runs after the break usually decide the game.

Summary of the key factors in this match

• Rebounding: clear advantage for Madrid if Tavares is in control.
• Home turnovers: keep them to ≤11 to avoid giving away transition opportunities.
• ASVEL three-pointers: they need ≥38% and volume to compete.
• Visiting team’s fouls: these will determine their defence of the basket.
• Third quarter run: Madrid’s favourite moment at home.
• Depth: the Whites’ bench makes the difference.

Real Madrid vs ASVEL: our prediction