Real Sociedad vs Sevilla FC (La Liga): odds and picks 24.10.2025

I have a clear feeling about this match: Real Sociedad is going through a somewhat complicated phase, while Sevilla, after a recent improvement, is coming into the match more relaxed and ready to take advantage of its opponent’s weaknesses.

Here are the key factors, context, players to watch and my personal prediction.

Context and form

In head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad and Sevilla, Sevilla has won 18 times and Real Sociedad has won 15 times in 44 matches, with 11 draws. The average number of goals per match between the two is 2.64, which indicates open, high-scoring matches when they face each other.

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad has had an inconsistent season so far: the data shows that their average goals scored per game is below expectations and they have had more setbacks than desired.

Sergio Francisco is on the tightrope because, despite the good vibes, the victories are not coming. They create chances but do not score and concede very easily.

They are currently in the relegation zone with only one narrow victory (1-0) against Mallorca. They have scored only eight goals – less than one per game on average.

Sevilla

Sevilla has shown signs of revival. A key blow was their important victory against FC Barcelona, which shows an increase in confidence and performance.

However, the team has been slightly overperforming, scoring more goals than their xG suggests, and winning several games they did not really deserve to win (such as the one against Rayo).

With 16 goals scored, they are the third highest scoring team, tied with Villarreal and Atlético. With 14 goals conceded, they also have the third worst defence in the league.

Away from home, they are the third-best team, behind only Barcelona and Real Madrid: three wins and one defeat on the road.

Key factors

• History: Sevilla has a slight advantage in head-to-head matches. This gives them a psychological edge.
• Current form: Real Sociedad struggle to score and sometimes concede easily; Sevilla seem more effective at decisive moments.
• Venue: If Real Sociedad play at home, they will have to dictate the pace; Sevilla will be comfortable being more pragmatic and playing on the counter-attack with space.
• Style of play: Real Sociedad will try to control the ball and create chances, while Sevilla will look for space, counter-attacks and take advantage of their opponents’ mistakes.

Players to watch

• For Real Sociedad: a key player for them is Mikel Oyarzabal. His ability to exploit space and score at important moments will be vital for Real Sociedad’s hopes of getting a result.
• For Sevilla: Alexis Sánchez (if available), Vargas and the defensive work of the veterans who stabilise the team when Sevilla concedes little and attacks with intent stand out.

Prediction

🔢 Predicted score:

Real Sociedad 1 – 1 Sevilla.
I see Sevilla getting some points, but not without suffering. I think Real will score, but it won’t be enough to win.