Red Star vs Baskonia (Euroleague): odds and picks 23.10.2025

A heated match at Stark Arena. In Belgrade, contact and details reign supreme: Red Star presses in the middle of the court, lives off rebounds and squeezes the free throw line; Baskonia arrives with that volatility that can change a game based on three-pointers. Today, I’m leaning towards the Serbian model if they manage to slow down the pace and take the game to a long 5×5.

My feeling: the start will be crucial. If Baskonia opens with 2-3 three-pointers (Howard/TLC), the game will speed up and the home team will struggle. If Red Star imposes its physicality in the 4-5 and draws fouls, the Buesa team will go into bonus and suffocate. The atmosphere, as we know, counts as another player.

Information: date, time and where to watch the game

• Competition: Euroleague
• Date: Wednesday 23 October

Odds for the winner of the Red Star vs Baskonia match

 (Reference odds; may vary until the time of the match)

Latest news from Red Star

A contact team with long possession. The plan is usually clear: block the centre, charge the offensive rebound and live off free throws. When the five stays clean of fouls and the four opens from 45 degrees, they force you to choose poison. I like their composure at home: few concessions, lots of detail, few gifts.

Probable starting five and key players

• Point guard: pick-and-roll generator, good pass to the corner
• Shooting guard: streaky scorer (shot after dribble)
• Small forward: 3&D with strong rebounding support
• Power forward: physical four who posts up and opens up the front
• Centre: defensive anchor, great rim protector

Key: impose height and win the bonus battle from the second quarter onwards.

Current situation in the Euroleague

When the score is low and the opponent isn’t running, their plan flourishes. Their Achilles heel: if the opposing guards get hot, they suffer in the corners and on long rebounds.

Latest news from Baskonia

Baskonia is explosive. If they control silly turnovers and protect their basket, they win in streaks. At Buesa Arena, they hide it; away, they need more discipline. The ideal game for them: medium pace, three-pointers in rhythm, and Howard getting “clean” shots from the block.

Probable starting five and key players

• Point guard: Trent Forrest / Markquis Nowell
• Shooting guard: Markus Howard
  
• Small forward: Timothé Luwawu-Cabarrot
• Power forward: Tadas Sedekerskis / Luka Samanic
• Centre: Khalifa Diop / Mamadi Diakite

Key factor: Howard/TLC’s 3-point shooting and fouls by the centre. If he gets fouled out, rebounding suffers.

Current situation in the Euroleague

Very marked streaks: when they exceed 36% in 3-pointers and lose ≤12 balls, they can compete with anyone; otherwise, the game becomes an uphill battle for them in the middle of the court.

Recent match-ups between Red Star and Baskonia

Recent series of runs: Vitoria has done damage with three-point streaks; Belgrade has punished them from the rebound and the line. The common pattern is clear: whoever controls their basket and the bonus in the third quarter controls the close.

Summary of key factors

• Pace: slow favours Red Star; more possessions favour Baskonia.
• Baskonia turnovers (≤12): red line to avoid giving away transition points.
• Home rebounds and free throws: their way to control the scoreboard.
• Visiting three-pointers: Howard/TLC as a competitive lever.
• Fouls by the centre on both sides: they determine the entire plan.
• Third quarter: window of opportunity to break away in Belgrade.

Red Star vs Baskonia: our prediction