Spain vs Georgia (World Cup Qualifiers): odds and picks 11.10.2025

Spain arrives on a roll and with sky-high confidence. De la Fuente’s side is showing overwhelming solidity and an offensive capacity that allows it to resolve matches with authority. Opposite them will be Georgia, an uncomfortable team with a world-class goalkeeper and a forward line that, when it can run, creates danger.

The deciding factor here is pace. Spain knows when to accelerate and when to slow the game down; Georgia will depend heavily on Kvaratskhelia’s physical condition and Mamardashvili’s inspiration. With the Martínez Valero stadium full, everything points to almost total home dominance and a clear difference on the scoreboard.

Date, time and where to watch the match

• Competition: 2026 World Cup Qualifiers (Group E)
• Date: Saturday, 11 October 2025

Odds for the winner of Spain vs Georgia

Spain analysis

Spain is in great form, playing fluid, ambitious and vertical football. The midfielders are setting the tone, and the variety of attacking options means that the team does not depend on a single player.

Probable line-up

Unai Simón; Pedro Porro, Le Normand, Laporte, Cucurella; Zubimendi, Pedri, Merino; Ferran Torres, Oyarzabal, Dani Olmo.
Zubimendi takes over from Rodri as pivot, with Merino and Pedri providing balance and attacking threat. In attack, Oyarzabal and Ferran will look for diagonal runs and shots on goal.

Key players

• Mikel Merino: he arrives in top form and with goalscoring ability. He is the heart of the midfield and a weapon in second plays.
• Pedri: his ability to turn and thread balls between the lines could break down the Georgian defence.
• Dani Olmo: he leaves his mark every time he plays for the national team; vertical, associative and with a threat from the second line.

Breaking news

Rodri and Lamine Yamal are important losses, but the squad has quality replacements. Laporte returns to the defensive axis, providing leadership and clean play from the back. There are no other significant absences.

Current situation

Spain is the undefeated leader of the group, with a spectacular record and an almost impenetrable defence. At home, they are even more convincing: total dominance of possession, quick transitions and a defence that does not concede. They are undoubtedly the favourites not only to win this match, but to do so by a wide margin.

Analysis Georgia

Georgia is a brave team but very dependent on its individual players. Its growth in recent years is evident, but against opponents of Spain’s calibre, it struggles to maintain intensity for the full 90 minutes.

Probable line-up

Mamardashvili; Kakabadze, Kashia, Kvirkvelia, Gvelesiani; Kvekveskiri, Kiteishvili; Davitashvili, Chakvetadze, Sagnan; Mikautadze.
If Kvaratskhelia is not 100%, Georgia loses a lot of depth and width on the wings.

Key players

• Mamardashvili: his performance between the posts will be decisive; he can prevent the defeat from being even heavier.
• Mikautadze: the most dangerous man in attack, capable of creating chances from very little.
• Kvaratskhelia: if he plays, he will be the focal point of the attack; if not, Georgia will limit themselves to waiting and playing on the counterattack.

Latest news

Kvaratskhelia is carrying an injury and could start on the bench. The rest of the team has no notable absences, although they are physically exhausted after a busy schedule.

Current situation

Georgia has one win and one defeat, and although it still has a chance of qualifying, the matches against the group’s powerhouses are proving very difficult. Away from home, it concedes too much, and its plan is to resist and take advantage of occasional mistakes. If the match opens up early, it could suffer a heavy defeat.

Spain vs Georgia: head-to-head

Spain has dominated the recent history between the two sides, with five consecutive victories, all by several goals. In recent encounters, La Roja has demonstrated not only technical superiority but also strength. Georgia has barely been able to compete in short periods and almost always ends up conceding in the second half.

Summary: key facts

• Spain comes into the match with a perfect record and a +9 goal difference.
• Georgia depends on Kvaratskhelia’s physical condition.
• The Martínez Valero will be full, with a great atmosphere in favour of Spain.
• The absences of Rodri and Lamine do not alter the home side’s favouritism.
• Spain has won the last five matches against Georgia with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

Our prediction for Spain vs Georgia