Barcelona vs Real Madrid (Euroleague): odds and picks 07.11.2025

A big classic at the Palau, with two very clear game plans. At home, Barça feels comfortable slowing down the pace, selecting shots and punishing with the open 4 (Shengelia/Parra) to clear the paint for Vesely/Willy. If they control turnovers (≤11) and load up on rebounds, they can impose a game of details.

Madrid arrives with skill and depth: Campazzo sets the pace, Musa/Hezonja open up the game from 1v1 and Tavares disrupts everything on both boards. For me, the key is rebounding and bonus management: if the Whites control the glass and don’t give away free throws, the game will fall into place.

Information: date, time and where to watch the game

• Competition: Euroleague
• Date: Friday, 7 November

Odds for the winner of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid match

 (Reference odds; may vary until the time of the match)

Latest news from Barcelona

Barça more positional than in recent seasons: patient ball movement, mid-post to draw help and pass to the corner. At home, they tend to pull away after the break if the 3-pointer is falling. Warning sign: avoid disconnections in balance after turnovers; Madrid punishes every mistake.

Probable starting five and key players

• Point guard: Tomas Satoransky / Nico Laprovittola
• Shooting guard: Kevin Punter
• Small forward: Will Clyburn / Álex Abrines
• Power forward: Toko Shengelia / Joel Parra
• Centre: Jan Vesely / Willy Hernangómez

Barça thermometer: Punter on form and the 4 stretching 45º. If the 5 reaches the final quarter clean, Barça gains continuity at both ends.

Barcelona: breaking news

Priorities: turnovers ≤11, close down their basket and don’t go into bonus early. Tactically, lots of pick&pop to get Tavares out of the cave and punish long closeouts. If Abrines/Parra convert the corners, the Palau pushes.

Current situation in the Euroleague

Reliable at home, more inconsistent away. With 3P ≥36% and controlled rebounding, they manage finals without needing to put on a show. They suffer when the opponent accelerates after a turnover and denies them the corner.

Latest news from Real Madrid

Long and competitive block. Campazzo moves up the court and directs play; Musa/Hezonja create advantages; Deck acts as the glue; Tavares/Poirier change the geometry. Differential virtue: they win with average accuracy thanks to rebounding and their half-court defence.

Probable starting five and key players

• Point guard: Facundo Campazzo
• Shooting guard: Dzanan Musa
• Small forward: Gabriel Deck
• Power forward: Mario Hezonja / Guerschon Yabusele
• Centre: Walter Tavares / Vincent Poirier

Key points for Real Madrid: controlled pace, rebounding and punishment on short rolls when Barça over-helps. If Campazzo wins the point of attack, free points will come.

Real Madrid: breaking news

Objective: deny Barça’s pick-and-pop and protect the corner. If Tavares stays out of foul trouble, Madrid controls everything inside and forces mid-range shots. Well-managed bonus = control of the closeout.

Current situation in the Euroleague

Extremely competitive “floor”: even without big runs, their physicality and reading of the game put them in a good position in the crucial minutes. Danger: stretches with turnovers when they accelerate too much.

Latest clashes between Barcelona and Real Madrid

In the five most recent matches, there has been a slight advantage for the Whites, with a recurring pattern: when Madrid dominates rebounds and free throws, it closes with a narrow margin; Barça has fought back when it has limited turnovers and imposed pick&pop to open up corners. At the Palau, mini-runs in the third quarter and foul management in the fifth quarter tend to decide the outcome.

Summary of the key factors in this match

• Pace: medium-slow → Barça; more possessions → favours Madrid.
• Rebounds: Tavares/Poirier vs Vesely/Willy, battle of the match.
• Barça turnovers (≤11) to avoid feeding the Whites’ transition.
• Corner three-pointer (Abrines/Parra vs Hezonja/Musa), +/−8 thermometer.
• Fouls by the centres (both), which change the geometry and the bonus.
• 3Q run, usual window for a breakaway.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: our prediction

BeniThe conservative one

Asian handicap +3.5 Real Madrid. Odds 1.50

A close game with 5×5 execution. With the +3.5 cushion and Real Madrid’s reliability in closing out games, I’m covering myself for a one- or two-possession finish, even on the opponent’s court. Key: rebounds and bonus.

BetoThe bold one

Total points – Under 157.5. Odds 3.30

I expect a more tactical than frenetic Clásico: lots of mid-post play, long possessions and few easy transitions. If the first quarter stays ≤38 points and the 5 fouls are controlled, the high under becomes very valuable.