Baskonia vs Bayern (Euroleague): odds and picks 21.11.2025

A big night at the Buesa Arena. Playing at home, Baskonia need to pick up the pace, string together handoffs for Markus Howard and stretch the court with an open ‘four’ (Sedekerskis/Šamanić) to pull the opponent’s ‘five’ away from the basket. If the three-pointer drops in spells and they keep turnovers to ≤12, the atmosphere will do the rest. My feeling is that with pace and corner shots, the Vitoria side will be in charge.

Bayern are pure half-court professionalism: long possessions, rebounding, free throws, and surgical shot selection. With long wings (Bonga/Lucic) and a hand on the point of attack, their ideal test is a low-scoring affair. If they slow the game right down and punish opponents in the mid-post, they’ll push you to the limit.

Information: Date, Time and Where to Watch the Match

• Competition: EuroLeague
• Date: Friday, 21st November

Baskonia vs Bayern Match Winner Odds

(Indicative odds; may vary until the moment of the match)

Baskonia Latest News

A team of streaks and outside volume. Winning formula: medium-high pace, hand-to-hand for Howard, pick-and-pop from the ‘four’, and closing down their basket to run after a rebound.

Probable Starting Five and Roles

• Point Guard (Base): Trent Forrest / Markquis Nowell – composure and first pass.
• Shooting Guard (Escolta): Markus Howard – catalyst for runs from the 3P line.
• Small Forward (Alero): T. Luwawu-Cabarrot (TLC) – 3&D and transition.
• Power Forward (Ala-pívot): Tadas Sedekerskis / Luka Šamanić – open ‘four’, rebounding.
• Centre (Pívot): Khalifa Diop / Mamadi Diakite – roll, physicality, and blocking.

Vitoria Keys: ≤12 turnovers, protect the defensive rebound and punish closeouts with corner shots. If Howard finds three clean shots early, the Buesa Arena will erupt.

Bayern Situation

A structurally solid team, comfortable in 5v5, with court vision and physicality on the wings. When they control the boards (the ‘glass’) and live from the free-throw line, they feel they dictate the pace.

Probable Starting Five and Roles

• Point Guard (Base): Leandro Bolmaro – 2v2 and slow pace.
• Shooting Guard (Escolta): Andreas Obst – streaky shooter from indirect screens.
• Small Forward (Alero): Isaac Bonga / Vladimir Lucic – 3&D, help-side rebounding.
• Power Forward (Ala-pívot): Carsen/Booker (four/small-ball five) – pick-and-pop, toughness.
• Centre (Pívot): Serge Ibaka / Devin Booker – size, mid-post, and blocking.

Bavarian Keys: deny Howard the hand-to-hand, close down the corner, and attack from 45 degrees with Lucic/Bonga to force fouls. If the score ends up around 75-78 points, they will be comfortable.

Last Matchups and Pattern

In Vitoria, when Baskonia look after the ball and get their 3P game going, they usually open up a lead in the 3rd quarter. Bayern have capitalised when they’ve slowed the pace, won the rebound battle, and forced the home side into a tight finish decided by fine margins (free throws and mid-range shots).

Summary of Key Factors

• Pace: Medium-high → Baskonia; Slow/Positional → Bayern.
• Turnovers (11-12): the threshold that defines the tempo.
• Home defensive rebounding to cut out German second-chance points.
• Three-pointer: volume from Howard/TLC vs contested Bavarian corner shots.
• Fouls from the ‘five’: changes the geometry and the bonus situation.
• 3rd Quarter run: typical window for a breakthrough at the Buesa.

Baskonia vs Bayern: Our Prediction

BeniThe conservative one

Baskonia win. Odds 1.67

With home-court advantage, more avenues for scoring without relying solely on streaks, and greater offensive potential, I’m sticking with the simple 1X2 bet. If they control turnovers and the ‘four’ stretches the court, they should be able to manage the finish.

BetoThe bold one

Markus Howard 25+ points. Odds 3.33

The matchup favours him if Bayern collapse the paint and are late on long-range help. As soon as he connects two handoff exits, he can cross the line and, in doing so, tip the match in his team’s favour.

Personal Feeling: If the first Vitoria surge comes in the 3rd quarter and Bayern don’t respond from the free-throw line, I see a highly plausible local +5/+9. If the pace drops and the rebound count turns red (favours Bayern), it will be a coin-toss finish.