Baskonia vs Dubai (Euroleague): odds and picks 28.10.2025

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Baskonia
Dubai
Euroleague @ 28.10.2025

With Baskonia at 1.85 and Dubai at 1.94, we have a practically pure pick’em. At the Buesa, my feeling is that the mould favours the Vitorians if the game picks up a notch and the three-pointer appears in streaks (Howard/TLC). Dubai, on the other hand, will look for long possessions, rebounds and punish the short roll to cool the atmosphere. If Baskonia takes care of the ball (≤12 turnovers) and protects its basket, it has a couple of clear paths to close out the fourth quarter.

Key points I would highlight: local defensive rebounding to avoid giving away second chances; fast breaks after turnovers (where Dubai can hurt you “cheaply”); and Baskonia’s 3-point shooting as a barometer – if they exceed 36%, the game will move at their pace. I suspect it will be a close contest with a mini-run after the break.

Information: date, time and where to watch the game

  • Competition: Euroleague
  • Date: Tuesday, 28 October 2025

Odds for the winner of the Baskonia vs Dubai match

ResultOdds
Baskonia wins1.85
Dubai wins1.94

 (Reference odds; may vary until the time of the match)

Latest news on Baskonia

At home, Dusko’s men tend to activate the one-on-one to free up Markus Howard and punish from 45°. Forrest/Nowell provide momentum; TLC/Sedekerskis contribute physicality and rebounding; the five (Diop/Diakite) must avoid fouls to hold the paint. If Buesa connects two three-pointers in a row, it’s an 8-0 run.

Probable starting five and roles

  • Point guard: Forrest / Nowell – control and first pass
  • Shooting guard: Markus Howard – outside volume
  • Small forward: TLC – 3&D + transition
  • Power forward: Sedekerskis / Šamanić – rebounding and open 4
  • Centre: Diop / Diakite – rim protection and follow-ups

Latest news from Dubai

Physical, patient and with a plan: slow down the pace, load up the glass and live off free throws. They struggle when they are run down after a turnover and when the opposing 4 stretches the court: they arrive late to the corner. Their plan is to collapse on Howard and force Baskonia to win from the post.

Probable starting five and roles

  • Point guard: playmaker (reading and pace)
  • Shooting guard: hot shooter (indirect)
  • Small forward: 3&D with rebounding help
  • Power forward: open four for 45°
  • Centre: anchor, second options and drawn fouls

Summary of key factors

  • Pace: medium-high – Baskonia; low and positional – Dubai.
  • Local turnovers (≤12): avoid “free” points.
  • Vitoria defensive rebounding: deny second options.
  • Baskonia three-pointers: barometer of the game.
  • Fouls by the 5 (both): change the geometry and the bonus.

Baskonia vs Dubai: our prediction

Conservative bet: Baskonia +2.5 Asian handicap (1.55).
A close game with a favourable atmosphere: I’ll stick with the home team. Even with a visiting surge, that +2.5 keeps you in it for a one- or two-possession finish.
Risky bet (>3.00): Baskonia wins by 1-5 points (3.20).
It fits with the odds and the script: a stop-and-go pace, a run by Buesa after the break and a close finish without pulling away. If Howard has a short streak and the home team’s number 5 avoids his fourth foul, I see a +2/+4 as very plausible.
Baskonia +2.5 Asian handicap
Category Basketball
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