Baskonia vs Dubai (Euroleague): odds and picks 28.10.2025


With Baskonia at 1.85 and Dubai at 1.94, we have a practically pure pick’em. At the Buesa, my feeling is that the mould favours the Vitorians if the game picks up a notch and the three-pointer appears in streaks (Howard/TLC). Dubai, on the other hand, will look for long possessions, rebounds and punish the short roll to cool the atmosphere. If Baskonia takes care of the ball (≤12 turnovers) and protects its basket, it has a couple of clear paths to close out the fourth quarter.
Key points I would highlight: local defensive rebounding to avoid giving away second chances; fast breaks after turnovers (where Dubai can hurt you “cheaply”); and Baskonia’s 3-point shooting as a barometer – if they exceed 36%, the game will move at their pace. I suspect it will be a close contest with a mini-run after the break.
Information: date, time and where to watch the game
- Competition: Euroleague
- Date: Tuesday, 28 October 2025
Odds for the winner of the Baskonia vs Dubai match
(Reference odds; may vary until the time of the match)
Latest news on Baskonia
At home, Dusko’s men tend to activate the one-on-one to free up Markus Howard and punish from 45°. Forrest/Nowell provide momentum; TLC/Sedekerskis contribute physicality and rebounding; the five (Diop/Diakite) must avoid fouls to hold the paint. If Buesa connects two three-pointers in a row, it’s an 8-0 run.
Probable starting five and roles
- Point guard: Forrest / Nowell – control and first pass
- Shooting guard: Markus Howard – outside volume
- Small forward: TLC – 3&D + transition
- Power forward: Sedekerskis / Šamanić – rebounding and open 4
- Centre: Diop / Diakite – rim protection and follow-ups
Latest news from Dubai
Physical, patient and with a plan: slow down the pace, load up the glass and live off free throws. They struggle when they are run down after a turnover and when the opposing 4 stretches the court: they arrive late to the corner. Their plan is to collapse on Howard and force Baskonia to win from the post.
Probable starting five and roles
- Point guard: playmaker (reading and pace)
- Shooting guard: hot shooter (indirect)
- Small forward: 3&D with rebounding help
- Power forward: open four for 45°
- Centre: anchor, second options and drawn fouls
Summary of key factors
- Pace: medium-high – Baskonia; low and positional – Dubai.
- Local turnovers (≤12): avoid “free” points.
- Vitoria defensive rebounding: deny second options.
- Baskonia three-pointers: barometer of the game.
- Fouls by the 5 (both): change the geometry and the bonus.
Baskonia vs Dubai: our prediction
A close game with a favourable atmosphere: I’ll stick with the home team. Even with a visiting surge, that +2.5 keeps you in it for a one- or two-possession finish.
It fits with the odds and the script: a stop-and-go pace, a run by Buesa after the break and a close finish without pulling away. If Howard has a short streak and the home team’s number 5 avoids his fourth foul, I see a +2/+4 as very plausible.

