Baskonia vs Partizan (Euroleague): odds and picks 17.10.2025

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Baskonia
Partizan
Euroleague @ 17.10.2025

High-voltage duel at the Buesa. Baskonia needs to settle in at the back, but at home it steps up a gear: pace, three-pointers and post-timeout runs. Partizan brings physicality, outside talent and a very clear game plan in the central block. I expect a game of streaks: if Baskonia runs after rebounds and finds Howard in advantage, the score will skyrocket; if Partizan sets up half court and punishes the post/continuations, it will tip the balance.

Key factors that I would highlight in red: home team turnovers (threshold 11-12), Vitoria defensive rebounding to avoid giving away second chances, and defence on the Avramović/Exum pick&roll. If Baskonia keeps its 3P% above 36% and protects its five from fouls, it will have a real chance. If Partizan forces an early bonus and lives on the line, the game will fall into their mould.

Information: date, time and where to watch the game

  • Competition: Euroleague
  • Date: Friday, 17 October

Odds for the winner of the Baskonia vs Partizan match

ResultOdds
Baskonia wins2.05
Partizan wins1.75

 (Reference odds; may vary until the time of the match)

The market favours Partizan due to its depth and defensive stability; the Buesa factor and the volume of three-pointers balance the picture.

Latest news from Baskonia

The league version has shown flashes of brilliance, but Europe demands consistency at the back. At home, the team feels comfortable picking up the pace and freeing up its shooters with one-on-one plays and staggered blocks. Things to watch: early fouls by the centre and unforced turnovers that fuel the Serbian transition.

Probable starting five and key players

  • Point guard: Trent Forrest / Markquis Nowell
  • Shooting guard: Markus Howard
  • Small forward: Timothé Luwawu-Cabarrot
  • Power forward: Tadas Sedekerskis / Luka Samanic
  • Centre: Khalifa Diop / Mamadi Diakite

Analysis: Forrest provides balance and the first pass; Howard is the knife; TLC and Sedekerskis contribute physicality and rebounding; Samanic opens from 45º; the five must protect the rim without getting fouled. From the bench, Spagnolo and Reyes add shooting for streaks.

Baskonia: breaking news

Clear plan: turnovers ≤12, protect the rim and live off the extra pass for set shots. If the three-pointer goes in and the long rebound is Vitoria’s, the game will go at their pace. Watch out for the side block defence: that’s where Partizan finds quick advantages.

Current situation in the Euroleague

An uneven start from behind. At the Buesa Arena, they compete better when they impose a controlled pace (not kamikaze) and reach 36-37% in T3. If they dominate their glass, they usually score runs after the break.

Latest news on Partizan

A skilled team: perimeter with points and reading, long wings and a 5 that punishes on continuations. Popović/Željko (coach profile) don’t give away rhythm: blocks to the centre, punishment in the post and free throws. Where they suffer most is if they are run at after a loss and the court is opened up with four shooters.

Probable starting five and key players

  • Point guard: Aleksa Avramović
  • Shooting guard: Dante Exum / Kevin Punter
  • Small forward: James Nunnally
  • Power forward: Zach LeDay
  • Centre: Frank Kaminsky / Bruno Caboclo

Playbook: Avramović picks and rolls to collapse and double; Exum attacks first step; Nunnally punishes corners; LeDay opens from the front; the five defines in continuations and short shots. Second unit with the physicality to sustain intensity.

Partizan: breaking news

Priority: stop Howard’s early advantages and deny corners. If they load up on personal fouls on the home team’s five, they will dominate rebounds and free throws. In long attacks, they look for the middle post to force help and open up the three-pointer.

Current situation in the Euroleague

More stable than brilliant: when they win rebounds and live on the line, they manage their advantages with skill. If they lose control of the pace and concede transitions, they suffer.

Recent clashes between Baskonia and Partizan

A very open recent series, including away wins. Common pattern: the game breaks open in the third quarter; when Baskonia takes care of the ball and hits three-pointers, it forces Partizan to fight back; when Partizan sets up half-court and goes for rebounds, it prevails through patience.

Summary of key factors in this match

  • Baskonia turnovers (≤12) to avoid feeding the Serbian transition.
  • Vitoria’s defensive rebounding against LeDay/5s in continuation.
  • Home three-pointers (Howard/TLC/Spagnolo), the scoreboard thermometer.
  • Partizan pick-and-roll: contain first pass and corners.
  • Fouls by Baskonia’s number 5: they determine the entire plan.
  • Partial score after the break: usual turning point.

Baskonia vs Partizan: our prediction

Conservative bet (odds 1.30-1.60): Over 160.5 total points (1.50-1.58). The pace of the Buesa, Baskonia’s outside volume and Partizan’s efficiency in the middle of the court push the score. With both teams in bonus for stretches, crossing 160 does not require overtime.
Risky bet (odds >3.00): Markus Howard – 25+ points (3.10-3.80). Ideal context: offensive focus, lots of indirect shots and an opponent that collapses the paint and may concede shots after blocks. If he gets on a roll, he will naturally exceed the barrier.
Over 160.5 total points
Category Basketball
Coefficient
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Expert tipster Daniel
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