Dinamo Zagreb vs Celta (Europa League): odds and picks 06.11.2025

Europa League match (group stage, Matchday 4) on Thursday, 6 November 2025 at Maksimir (Zagreb).

I come to this match with two certainties: Dinamo 2-1-0 (7 points, +4) and Celta 2-0-1 (6 points, +2) after three matchdays, both in provisional qualifying positions.

The Croatian side is going strong in Europe (undefeated and with a positive goal difference), while Celta is in good spirits after two consecutive away league wins before travelling to Zagreb.

Dinamo Zagreb

I like the competitive spirit they are showing: 7 points out of 9 in the group stage, with 3 goals conceded and sustained offensive production (7 goals and 6 assists in the UEL). At home, the Maksimir crowd pushes them on and Dinamo alternates midfield play with quick changes of pace, exploiting second plays and tense crosses. The models suggest an even match, but Dinamo are difficult to beat at home.

To bear in mind: their tendency to react in the final stages (they have rescued points in the 80-90 minutes) and their strength from set pieces, charging well at the near and far posts. The injury list includes some defenders (such as Živković), but the European starting eleven is recognisable.

My key: the Croatian midfielders winning duels behind the Celta midfield; if they do, Celta will suffer from crosses and rebounds.

Celta Vigo

The team is travelling with a good feeling (two consecutive away wins) and a clear identity under Giráldez: pressure after losing possession, deep full-backs (Mingueza is suspended) and a lot of activity in the second line with Aspas as the linchpin of the game. In Europe, they have 6 points out of 9, with the ability to impose themselves in terms of pace when they adjust the height of the block.

Keys to competing in Zagreb:

• Clean start to avoid losses in their own half against Croatian pressure.
• Protect the far post on crosses from the wings.
• Take advantage of set pieces with Aspas and Borja Iglesias attacking rebounds.

The dressing room is confident and fully focused on this trip ahead of the clash with Barça. If the team keeps the lines together and Aspas receives between the centre-backs, they can force a favourable exchange.

My predictions for Dinamo Zagreb vs Celta

BeniThe conservative one

Double chance: Celta or Draw (X2). Odds 1.55.

Celta arrive with two consecutive away wins and good numbers in the phase (2-0-1). The match is very even in 1X2, so I opt for protection that covers the draw in a balanced context. If the odds fall below 1.45, I would lower the stake; if they remain above 1.50, I think it’s good.

BetoThe bold one

Celta wins (1X2 – 2). Odds 2.60.

With Aspas in leader mode and the team on a positive run, Celta can impose themselves through pressure and clean transitions. Dinamo compete very well, but the match is 50/50, and the market value justifies the bet. Compatible scores: 0-1 or 1-2.

As a less volatile plan B, Celta DNB (draw no bet) is around 1.90–2.05.