Getafe vs Real Madrid (La Liga): odds and picks 19.10.2025

A tricky match at the Coliseum: Bordalás’s tough Getafe side welcomes the league leaders, a Real Madrid side that arrives with plenty of firepower up front and in better spirits after the break. I expect Real Madrid to dominate possession, with plenty of physical battles and a pace of play typical of the Coliseum.

Key factors: the effectiveness of Mbappé/Vinícius in attacking spaces and set pieces (Getafe struggles to defend crosses from the wings) against the Azulones’ push in second plays. If Madrid opens the scoring, the script leans towards visitor control with a low score.

Date, time and where to watch the match

• Competition: LaLiga (Matchday 9)
• Date and time: Sunday 19 October 2025

Odds for the winner of Getafe vs Real Madrid

Getafe analysis

Getafe competes, but struggles to impose itself at the Coliseum: it finds it difficult to take the lead and games become long if it concedes first. Even so, it is an uncomfortable team that maximises every set piece and challenge.

Probable line-up

System: 4-4-2/5-3-2
 Tentative starting eleven: David Soria; Kiko Femenia, Duarte, Djené, Abqar, Diego Rico; Milla, Arambarri, Mario Martín; Adrián Liso, Borja Mayoral.

Bordalás’ plan: mid/low block, aggressive in challenges, attack down the wings to cross to Mayoral and second plays from Liso. (*flexible depending on physical condition).

Key players

• Luis Milla. Leads Getafe in “big chances created”; his standing foot and changes of direction are the way out of the siege.
• Adrián Liso. He arrives with a good volume of shots; he threatens behind the opposing left-back.
• Borja Mayoral. A reference point for pinning down centre-backs and punishing crosses from the wings.
• David Soria. His early interventions can sustain the plan if Madrid accelerates through the middle.

Latest news

Only goalkeeper Jiri Letáček. No relevant suspensions. Bordalás has worked on mechanisms to close down Vinícius’ lane and protect the area from crosses from the wings.

Getafe’s current situation in LaLiga

Getafe are mid-table (11th) and inconsistent: only one win in their last five league games.

At home, they have been in poor form since last season and have dropped points against direct rivals; the team struggles when they don’t strike first and have to chase the game.

On the plus side, they are one of the teams that most influences the pace of the game with tactical fouls and knows how to compete when the score is close.

Real Madrid analysis

Xabi Alonso‘s Madrid dominate in attack and are top of the table.

With Mbappé and Vinícius stretching the play and Bellingham between the lines, they create chances from different angles; the challenge is to maintain concentration in their own area on second balls.

Probable line-up

System: 4-3-3
 Tentative starting eleven: Courtois; Valverde, Militão, Asencio, Carreras, Tchouaméni, Bellingham, Guler, Vinícius, Mbappé, Mastantuono.

Alternatives: Brahim on the wing and Ceballos in the middle if Alonso wants more drive. Carvajal and Rüdiger are aiming not to push themselves too hard.

Key players

• Kylian Mbappé. Top scorer in the tournament; a constant threat in space, key if Getafe push their full-backs forward.
• Jude Bellingham. Reads the game well; gets into the box from deep and decides tight games.
• Fede Valverde. Provides deployment to win second balls and sustain transitions.
• Vinícius Jr. His duel with the right-back will determine the number of 1v1s and penalties won.

Breaking news

Mbappé looks set to be available; Carvajal and Trent Alexander-Arnold are improving but remain doubtful; Mendy is already training with the group; Huijsen is out; Rüdiger is carrying a knock.

Real Madrid’s current situation in LaLiga

They arrive as leaders and on a remarkable scoring streak (16 goals in their last five official matches).

Away from home, they are performing above the league average and are the team with the most penalties awarded so far, a sign of their constant presence in the box.

They only stumbled in the derby, but responded with convincing victories.

Getafe vs Real Madrid: head-to-head

The recent H2H record clearly favours Madrid: Getafe 0–1 Real Madrid (23/04/2025), Real Madrid 2–0 Getafe (01/12/2024) and several wins for Los Blancos in recent seasons.

Getafe have not beaten Madrid at home since January 2022. There is a tendency for low-scoring games at the Coliseum, with the first clear chance often proving decisive.

Managers: José Bordalás vs Xabi Alonso

First official meetings between the two projects. Bordalás maintains his competitive identity (mid/low block, direct play, second plays), while Xabi Alonso has given Madrid more aggression after losing possession and stretching the play with fast forwards.

Summary: key facts

• Time and venue: Sunday 19/10/2025, Coliseum
• Table: Getafe 11th vs Real Madrid 1st
• Recent form: Getafe, 1W-2D-2L in last 5; Madrid, 4W in last 5 official matches
• Key absentees: Letáček (GET); Rüdiger, Carvajal, Huijsen, Mendy (returning), Alexander-Arnold (RMA)
• H2H: 0–1 and 0–2 for Madrid in 2024/25; Getafe have not beaten Madrid at home since 02/01/2022
• Key tactics: aerial duels and second balls; attack Getafe’s defensive transition down the flanks

Our prediction for Getafe vs Real Madrid

My approach: moderate stake on the away moneyline and a smaller fraction on the combination with Under. Adjust according to your bankroll and wait for the official line-ups before placing your bet.