Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets (NBA): odds and picks 24.10.2025
Big game at Chase Center and odds are almost even. My take: if the pace picks up and there’s an exchange of three-pointers, GSW will grow (Curry/Thompson + transition after long rebound); if the game slows down to half court and rebounding, Denver will dominate with Jokic’s metronome and Murray’s cool execution in close finishes. Golden State needs a high 3P% and not to fall behind on the glass; Denver does better without rushing, loading up on rebounds and punishing on short rolls.
Key points that I highlight in red: turnovers (threshold 11-12 for GSW), control of the Warriors’ own rebounds to avoid second chances for Gordon/MPJ, and defence against the Jokic-Murray two-on-two. If Draymond can help without cluttering the corners, Golden State will be balanced; if Denver sets up their half court, the game will lean towards the visitors.
Information: date, time and where to watch the game
- Competition: NBA
- Date: Friday, 24 October
Odds for the winner of the Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets match
(Reference odds; may vary until the time of the match)
Latest news on the Golden State Warriors
Recognisable block: movement without the ball, one-on-one to free Curry and lots of split action. The weak point remains defensive rebounding and lapses in concentration after turnovers. At home, runs tend to come with the second unit active (Kuminga/CP3) and streaks from Klay.
Probable starting five and key players
- Point guard: Stephen Curry
- Shooting guard: Klay Thompson
- Small forward: Andrew Wiggins
- Power forward: Draymond Green
- Centre: Kevon Looney
Curry stretches defences; Klay is the barometer; Wiggins contributes 3&D; Draymond directs and helps out on Jokić; Looney creates second options. Bench: Paul and Kuminga to maintain momentum.
Warriors: breaking news
Plan: turnovers ≤12, close down their basket and punish in transition after long rebounds. If the 3P is close to 40% and Draymond can float to a weak shooter to help inside, GSW pushes the game into their mould.
Current situation in the NBA
Inconsistent from the three-point line; brilliant when the ball flies and the corners fall. In half-court finishes, they suffer if there is no secondary production beyond Steph.
Latest on the Denver Nuggets
Most stable team in the West: Jokić dictates, Murray decides, and Gordon/MPJ close out rebounds and punish cuts. They don’t need unrealistic percentages to win; they just need to control the pace and the glass.
Probable starting five and key players
- Point guard: Jamal Murray
- Shooting guard: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
- Small forward: Michael Porter Jr.
- Power forward: Aaron Gordon
- Centre: Nikola Jokić
Jokić creates from the post and centre; Murray punishes in 2×2; KCP provides elite scoring; MPJ rebounds long; Gordon contributes physicality and cuts.
Nuggets: breaking news
Roadmap: slow down the pace, win rebounds and live off the duo’s reading of the game. If they get into bonus territory early, Jokić becomes unstoppable. The danger: GSW’s three-point streaks that force them to run more than they should.
Current situation in the NBA
Textbook performance in close games: few turnovers, shots on pace and dominance on the glass. When the pace gets too high, they expose themselves a little more in the corners.
Recent matchups between the Warriors and Nuggets
Recent trend: Denver dominates when it controls the tempo and the rebound; GSW strikes when the three-pointer appears and turns the game into a back-and-forth battle. The Chase Centre tends to open up the game, but the Nuggets know how to slow it down if they are ahead.
Summary of key factors in this match
- Pace: fast – Warriors; half court – Nuggets.
- Rebounding: potential advantage for Denver if GSW does not close out on the rim.
- Home turnovers: cap 11-12 to avoid free points.
- Jokić-Murray: force contested shots without giving away corners.
- GSW three-pointers: with ≥40%, the balance shifts in their favour.
Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets: our prediction
Close game and 5×5 execution: I’ll stick with the most reliable team in rebounding and reading the game. Even with a surge of home three-pointers, that margin keeps you alive almost every time.
The match-up favours him: GSW switches and helps from the weak side; Jokić punishes with cuts and shooters. With his usage and minutes in close games, the line is perfectly achievable.
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