Humphries vs Van Veen (Premier League Darts): odds and bets 12.03.2026

Nottingham (12 March 2026) is another best-of-11-legs quarter-final, and that format is ruthless: you don’t get time to “find it” on the doubles. One soft leg on the outer ring, one loose visit after a missed dart at tops, and you’re suddenly chasing the match.

The interesting part here is the contrast between Humphries’ underlying level and Van Veen’s week-to-week punch. Humphries has finally put a statement performance on the board, but Van Veen has already proved he belongs on this stage with multiple deep runs — and he’s also beaten Humphries in a big spot already this season.

Luke Humphries

If you look at Humphries’ Premier League results up to now, it’s been a strange campaign: not many points for a player of his standards, but plenty of evidence the game is close to clicking. He’s had tight losses, and he’s also had nights where he played well and still didn’t get paid for it — the clearest example being Glasgow, where he got through his quarter-final and then lost a deciding-leg semi-final to Van Veen.

Last week was the big positive: he dismantled Van Gerwen 6–1, which is not something you do without scoring hard and controlling the match from the off. The way I read that performance is simple: Humphries’ A-game is still there, and when his doubling is stable he can suffocate elite opponents in this short format.

My one hesitation is that he’s still been a bit stop-start across the first part of the league overall (no nightly win yet), so I want him to start sharply again — first two legs, first serious look at a finish: does he pin it? If yes, I’m much more comfortable backing him.

Gian van Veen

Van Veen has looked like a proper Premier League player already: he’s had multiple nights where he’s gone deep and picked up big scalps, and it hasn’t been a fluke in a field this strong. What I like about him from a punting perspective is that he doesn’t need the perfect match to compete: his scoring keeps him in legs, and he’s shown he can handle the Premier League spotlight in deciding-leg situations — including beating Humphries in a last-leg situation.

The downside is that when he hits a slightly flatter patch on doubles, it can look costly very quickly — and that’s where a composed opponent can punish him in a short race. So for Van Veen, the question is whether he can get a foothold early and keep Humphries under pressure on throw. If he lets Humphries settle into a smooth rhythm, this can get away from him fast.