Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets (NBA): odds and picks 28.10.2025

With Minnesota at 1.77 and Denver at 1.94, the market gives the Wolves a slight edge due to home court advantage and defensive solidity. And it makes sense: at the Target Centre, with Gobert closing down the hoop and Edwards attacking after steals, Minnesota imposes its physical style on opponents. Even so, Denver rarely breaks down: if they set their tempo (5×5 long, rebounding, few turnovers), the game is evenly matched.

My take: a clash of small margins. If KAT stretches Jokić out and Minnesota wins the defensive rebound, the balance tips in favour of the home team. If Jokić-Murray find a short roll without giving away corners and the Nuggets reach the bonus first, the visitors are likely to win.

Information: date, time and where to watch the game

• Competition: NBA
• Date and time: Tuesday, 28 October 2025

Odds for the winner of the Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets match

 (Reference odds; may vary until the time of the match)

Latest news on the Minnesota Timberwolves

Recognisable version: Conley directs, Edwards is the knife and Gobert conditions everything in his hoop. The key is to close the rebound and not concede second chance points. KAT must produce without raffling the ball: if he punishes from 45º and avoids silly fouls, he opens up the court and improves spacing.

Probable starting five and roles

• Mike Conley – tempo control
  
• Anthony Edwards – volume and free throws
• Jaden McDaniels – 3&D on big wings
• Karl-Anthony Towns – stretch the 5 / pick & pop
  
• Rudy Gobert – rim protection and glass

Wolves: tactical approach

• Turnovers ≤12 to avoid feeding transition.
• Denying high handoffs to Jokić with short help (without selling the corner).
• Attack MPJ on closeouts to draw fouls.

Denver Nuggets last minute

Stable block: Jokić dictates, Murray finishes in mid-range, Gordon/MPJ seal rebounds and punish cuts. Differential virtue: they don’t need extreme accuracy; with controlled pace and low turnovers, they put you to sleep.

Probable starting five and roles

• Jamal Murray – 2×2 centre and pull-up
  
• KCP – point of attack + corner three
• Michael Porter Jr. – long rebound / catch & shoot
  
• Aaron Gordon – physical, cuts and second options
• Nikola Jokić – total creation from elbow/post

Nuggets: tactical approach

• Slow down the pace and load up on offensive rebounds if KAT/Gobert open up.
• Punish short-roll when Minnesota collapses the paint.
• Avoid early bonus against Edwards.

Recent matchups and patterns

When Minnesota imposes contact and a slow pace with occasional steals, the Target pushes and the score falls into place. Denver has responded by controlling the rebound and punishing long assists with cuts to the basket. The third quarter usually dictates the trend: a 6-0 run defines momentum.

Summary of key factors

• Pace: positional – Denver; physical with steals – Wolves.
• MIN defensive rebounding, vital for running after recovery.
• Turnovers (threshold 11-12) on both sides.
• Edwards vs help defence: don’t leave him a clear lane on the right.
• 2×2 Jokić-Murray: contain the short roll without giving away corners.
• Fouls by the 5 (Gobert/Jokić), which change the geometry.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets: our prediction