Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors (NBA): odds and picks 24.01.2026

Minnesota comes into the game as the favourite and, playing at the Target Centre, tends to impose a more physical, half-court pace. Golden State, meanwhile, is more comfortable when the game opens up and they can string together three-pointers, but they come into the game with less margin for error in rotation. The game will be played on Saturday, 24 January 2026.

The key point, for me, is Minnesota’s ability to control the rebound and close the hoop without giving away second chances, forcing the Warriors to live off their outside shooting. Also, keep an eye on the context: the Wolves are coming off a recent negative streak and need a “orderly” victory to break the streak, which usually translates into more serious defence from the tip-off.

Minnesota Timberwolves latest

Minnesota comes into the game with the urgency of stopping a recent losing streak, but with home-court advantage. On the injury front, Terrence Shannon Jr. is listed as injured (foot) and is not expected to return immediately, which somewhat reduces the depth on the perimeter. Overall, I expect a more focused defence.

Golden State Warriors latest

Golden State is affected by the injury report: Jonathan Kuminga is out with discomfort (knee) and is also carrying a significant loss for the rest of the season. This forces adjustments to the starting line-up and distribution of minutes, and usually has a particular impact when competing on a large court with contact.

Summary of key factors in this match

• Recent trend: Wolves on a losing streak; Warriors also coming off inconsistent recent results.
• Rotation and injuries: Warriors missing key players; Minnesota with a key player out, reducing depth.
• Market reading: Minnesota clear favourite; main line around -6 and high total (around 237–238).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors: our prediction

BeniThe conservative one

Minnesota Timberwolves to win. Odds 1.43

I’m not going to complicate things here: at home, with more tools to punish in defence and with Golden State somewhat short on players, Minnesota should have the game where they want it for many minutes. The risk lies in a visiting “festival” of three-pointers, but with equal accuracy, I expect more local control and better rebounding in the heated moments.

BetoThe bold one

Golden State Warriors to win + Over 237.5 points (combined). Odds 5.50

If you fancy a surprise, the way to go is the open script: a fast pace, an exchange of baskets and the Warriors living off their variance from outside. The away win is around 2.90 and the Over 237.5 is at a toss-up price; combining them shoots up above 5.00. It’s a low-stake bet, but logical if the game gets out of control early on.