New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks (Super Bowl LX): odds and picks 08.02.2026

Super Bowl LX is coming: New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks, on Sunday, 8 February 2026, at Levi’s Stadium. Seattle is the clear favourite: the consensus is around Seahawks -4.5, with a total of 45.5 and the moneyline clearly leaning towards Seattle.

My reasoning is simple: when the odds/handicap in a final move quickly to one side, it is usually because bettors detect a more stable matchup. In this case, money came in early on Seattle, pushing the spread from -3.5 to -4.5 (it even touched -5 before coming back). That kind of movement in a Super Bowl usually means “I’m confident the favourite can win by a margin,” not just win.

Can New England break the script? Sure: if they manage to make the game a long possession battle, minimise mistakes and force a duel of patience, the underdog always has a chance (even more so with a total in the low-mid range). But even the models being published these days give Seattle a slight edge (in the 58–60% range), and to me that fits with what I see in the market: Seattle has more “clear” paths to victory.

BeniThe conservative one

Seattle Seahawks -4.5 (handicap). Odds 1.90

I’m going with that number because, if you’re already on the favourite’s side, I prefer to capture the most likely scenario suggested by the market: Seattle winning and not just surviving. Seattle to win could be a better option and also makes sense, but I like the -4.5 better for value.

BetoThe bold one

Under 45.5 points. Odds 1.90

As long as the number stays in the 45.5–46 range, I still prefer the Under because the matchup and likely script make me think this will be a close game rather than an offensive festival.