Real Madrid CF vs FC Barcelona (La Liga): odds and picks 26.10.2025

This classic match between Real Madrid and Barcelona pits two La Liga giants against each other, both of whom have already demonstrated their competitive prowess this season.

Real Madrid are the leaders, with the obligation to impose their home advantage at the Santiago Bernabéu and eager to come back against a rival that has dominated them lately.

Barcelona, on the other hand, enters the match with confidence after recent good performances and with the challenge of continuing its superiority over its great rival.

Real Madrid

Needs to regain confidence against a Barcelona side that has beaten them frequently recently, and will need to rely on their fans, stadium and high tempo to impose their conditions.

Madrid come into the game with a demanding schedule, and the match looks set to be one of the most decisive of the season for them. They know they cannot afford to lose ground at home. The pressure of playing in front of their fans and against a rival that dominates head-to-head matches complicates their preparation.

Current situation in the competition

Madrid are competing at the highest level in La Liga 2025-26 and this clash comes very early (on matchday 10, according to the fixture list), which adds to the emotional burden.

In recent history against Barcelona, the Whites have lost several head-to-head matches, which adds pressure: for example, Barcelona won 3-2 in the Copa del Rey final in April 2025.

Mbappé leads the scoring charts with 10 goals.

Barcelona

Barcelona arrive in high spirits after dominating several recent clásicos and with the ambition of consolidating their status as title contenders. They will need to manage their visit to the Bernabéu well, cope with the intensity of their opponents and maintain their attacking rhythm.

The Catalan team has shown an ability to create chances, dictate the pace of the game and punish Madrid’s mistakes. In the last five head-to-head matches, Barcelona has not lost to its great rival. That psychological factor gives it an advantage.

Current situation in the competition

Barcelona are defending their La Liga title and these types of matches will be key to staking their claim from October onwards. The fact that El Clásico is being played on matchday 10 gives the Catalans an opportunity to gain an early advantage.

They are the highest-scoring team in La Liga, with 24 goals in nine games.

Head-to-head

In recent encounters, Barcelona has had the upper hand: in the last five matches against Real Madrid, the Catalans have won more times than the Whites. For example, Barcelona won 3-2 in April 2025 in the Copa del Rey final.

Historically, the rivalry has averaged more than 3 goals per game in recent encounters, suggesting a significant offensive component.

Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Barcelona