Real Madrid vs Fenerbahçe (Euroleague): odds and picks 30.10.2025

A big game at the WiZink and the perfect showcase to measure European hierarchy. My reading is clear: Madrid is a step above in terms of skill and depth, with a 5 that conditions everything and outside players capable of breaking through without needing to be incredibly accurate. At home, when the Whites string together two stops and run with their heads, the partial score comes almost by inertia.

Fenerbahçe has the antidote: slow pace, half court and lots of playbook. If the game turns into chess, their wings (Hayes-Davis, Gudurić) and the 5 in follow-ups can take it to a one or two possession finish. For me, the key is in the visitors’ defensive rebounding and not getting into the bonus too early.

Information: date, time and where to watch the game

• Competition: Euroleague
• Date: Thursday, 30 October 2025
• Venue: WiZink Centre (Madrid)

Odds for the winner of the Real Madrid vs Fenerbahçe match

 (Reference odds; may vary until the time of the match)

Latest news on Real Madrid

A deep, serious and very stable team in finals. Campazzo sets the pace and forces mistakes; Musa/Hezonja create advantages without overdoing it; Deck acts as the glue; and at the 5, Tavares/Poirier change the geometry of the game. At home, Madrid doesn’t need crazy runs: two defences, a free three-pointer and the gap appears.

Probable starting five and key players

• Point guard: Facundo Campazzo
• Shooting guard: Dzanan Musa
• Small forward: Gabriel Deck
• Power forward: Mario Hezonja / Yabusele
• Centre: Walter Tavares / Vincent Poirier

Key factors for Real Madrid: turnovers ≤11, dominating the glass and punishing over-help with open shots. If the 3P crosses ~36% and the 5 avoids early fouls, the script is very favourable.

Real Madrid: breaking news

Simple and effective roadmap: p&r centre to attract help, Deck’s mid-post and reading from the elbow. Watch out for balance after a turnover: if Fener runs twice in a row, the game gets messy.

Current situation in the Euroleague

At the WiZink, the competitive “floor” is very high: even with average accuracy, rebound control and well-managed bonus points are enough for them to manage the end of the game.

Latest news from Fenerbahçe

A skilled and savvy block. Calathes (or the point guard) slows down the pace and selects; Gudurić produces from blocks; Hayes-Davis is the wild card at 3-4; and the 5 (Motley/Sertac) lives off follow-ups and charging the rim. Their ceiling rises when they add free throws and the open 4 hits the 45º.

Probable starting five and key players

• Point guard: Nick Calathes
• Shooting guard: Marko Gudurić
• Small forward: Nigel Hayes-Davis
• Power forward: 4 mobile to stretch the court
• Centre: Jonathan Motley / Sertac Sanli

Turkish keys: defensive rebounding, denying corners and double-digit turnovers. If the game comes down to pure 5-on-5, their structure is competitive.

Current situation in the Euroleague

Away from home, the more positional the game, the better for them. They suffer if they are punished for their balance or if their opponents dominate the offensive glass.

Recent match-ups between Real Madrid and Fenerbahçe

The recent pattern in Madrid is clear: when Real wins rebounds and doesn’t give away the ball, it closes with a margin. Fener has bitten back when it turned the game into a fine detail, with a slow pace and accuracy on the wings. The third quarter is usually the window for the Whites to break away.

Summary of the key factors in this match

• Pace: medium/high – Madrid; low and positional – Fenerbahçe.
• Rebounds: Tavares/Poirier force the visitors to work extra hard.
• Turnovers (≤11/12): red line for both.
• Home three-pointers (Musa/Hezonja/Yabusele), +/−10 thermometer.
• Fouls by the 5: they determine the whole geometry and the bonus.
• 3Q partial: Madrid’s usual moment of breakthrough at home.

Real Madrid vs Fenerbahçe: our prediction

BeniThe conservative one

Real Madrid to win (1.41)

At the WiZink, with superiority in the 5 and more ways to gain an advantage in the middle of the court, the Whites have the game where they want it. If they control turnovers and their 3P is on range, they should impose their craft.

BetoThe bold one

Walter Tavares – 10+ rebounds (3.20)

A mid-court game with a lot of contact: if Fener collapses the paint and closes down the shooters, there will be a lot of shots and, therefore, rebounds. With high minutes in a big game, that line is perfectly achievable.