Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos (Euroleague): odds and picks 13.11.2025

A clash of titans at the WiZink Center, with Real Madrid (1.43) starting as the clear favourite against a Panathinaikos side (2.75) arriving at their best moment of the season. The ‘Whites’, leaders and solid at home, combine control, physicality, and talent. If Campazzo sets the pace and Tavares dominates the rebound, Madrid should take the initiative from the tip-off. Their plan is the usual: medium pace, defence without fouls, and ball movement until finding an open shot.

Ataman’s Panathinaikos have recovered their character. With a physical core and a potent perimeter (Nunn, Grigonis, Sloukas), they can compete if they impose a slower pace and manage to make the game be decided in the half-court. However, they need their open 4-man to hit the shots from the 45-degree angle, and for Lessort not to get into foul trouble against the ‘White’ giants. It will be a tactical chess match, where managing the foul bonus and the rebound will dictate the outcome.

Information: Date, Time, and Where to Watch the Match

• Competition: EuroLeague
• Date: Thursday 13th November

Match Winner Odds Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos

(Reference odds; they may vary up to the moment of the match)

Real Madrid Latest News

Chus Mateo’s team continues to be a competitive clockwork. Campazzo controls the tempo, Musa and Hezonja generate points from 1-on-1 situations, and the Tavares-Poirier duo protects the basket like few others in Europe. Their priority will be to deny Sloukas’ pick-and-roll and dominate the defensive rebound to run.

Probable Starting Five and Key Players

• Point Guard: Facundo Campazzo
• Shooting Guard: Dzanan Musa
• Small Forward: Gabriel Deck
• Power Forward: Mario Hezonja / Guerschon Yabusele
• Centre: Walter Tavares / Vincent Poirier

Key factors for Madrid: turnovers ≤11, dominant rebounding, and avoiding early foul trouble (entering the bonus early). If their outside shooting is accurate, they can break the game open in the third quarter.

Current EuroLeague Situation

They feel untouchable at the WiZink. They win with average shooting accuracy thanks to their defence, their control of the pace, and their mental fortitude. When Tavares marks his territory and Campazzo manages the ball, the endings do not escape them.

Panathinaikos Latest News

Ergin Ataman’s team arrives with character and ambition. With Sloukas managing the 2-on-2 and Nunn scoring in streaks, the Greeks can punish any opponent if they move the ball with patience. The challenge: protecting the basket against Madrid’s interior game and not giving away second chances.

Probable Starting Five and Key Players

• Point Guard: Kostas Sloukas
• Shooting Guard: Kendrick Nunn
• Small Forward: Marius Grigonis
• Power Forward: Juancho Hernangómez / Mathias Lessort
• Centre: Mathias Lessort

Key factors: low pace, 3P ≥37%, and dominating the offensive rebound. If they manage to keep the score around 75 points, they will have their chances until the end.

Current EuroLeague Situation

A growing team, more competitive than in previous years, but less reliable away from home. When their defence remains disciplined, they are an elite unit; if they rush in attack, they suffer lethal transitions.

Recent Head-to-Head Encounters between Real Madrid and Panathinaikos

Madrid’s dominance in recent years: 8 victories in the last 9 duels, most with margins between 7 and 12 points. In Madrid, the WiZink factor is usually decisive. PAO have only won when they have imposed a slow pace and forced more free throws than their opponent.

Summary of Key Factors in this Match

• Pace: medium → Madrid; low → PAO.
• Rebound: Tavares/Poirier vs Lessort/Hernangómez.
• Turnovers: ≤11 to control transition.
• Three-pointer: Musa and Hezonja as the local barometer.
• Bonus: key in the second and third quarters.
• Centre’s fouls (Fouls on the 5-man): condition the whole structure.

Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos: Our Prediction

BeniThe conservative one

Real Madrid to Win. Odds 1.43.

Due to pace, squad depth, and home reliability, Madrid has the game on their terms. If the rebound is theirs and Campazzo governs the game, the ‘White’ victory is the most probable outcome.

BetoThe bold one

Real Madrid to Win by 11-15 points. Odds 3.20.

This fits the usual pattern at the WiZink: an equal match at half-time and a Madrid run after the break. If the outside shooting is accurate and Tavares dominates without fouling, the score can open up in that range.