Real Madrid vs Valencia (La Liga): odds and picks 01.11.2025

Both teams face each other with very different dynamics: Real Madrid are the historical favourites, especially at home, while Valencia CF are looking to get back to winning ways after some ups and downs.

It is key to consider the Whites’ busy schedule and that Valencia may try to play on the counterattack; also the fact that the home side tend to impose their rhythm and the visitors are not particularly brilliant away from home.

It is important to note that Real Madrid has a solid record of victories against Valencia in head-to-head matches. On the other hand, Valencia, in contrast, has less offensive consistency on the road and shows vulnerability against teams that press high.

So the scenario seems to favour the home side, although surprises cannot be ruled out.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid come into the game on the back of a good run of results, including last Saturday’s Clásico. They dominate most of their games, especially at home, creating many chances and imposing their hegemony.

At home, they usually score at least a couple of goals and concede fewer than when they play away. They are the best home team in La Liga: the only one to have won all their matches (5/5), conceding only 3 goals.

In matches against Valencia, the Whites have a very favourable record: for example, they have 34 wins to Valencia’s 13 in 61 matches. In recent encounters, Real Madrid also has the advantage in terms of goals scored and conceded.

Meanwhile, their weaknesses may come from the accumulation of matches, a certain fragility in defence when the pace slows down, and missed chances that have condemned the team in some key matches.

In summary: strong favourites, but not infallible.

Valencia CF

Valencia are coming off a midweek Cup match, with substitutes and good management of playing time, beating Maracena 5-0.

Corberán’s team arrives with more doubts than certainties: their away form is inconsistent, especially against teams that control the ball. They are one of the few teams in La Liga that have yet to win away from home, with only two draws and three goals scored in five games. They are also the team that has conceded the most goals away from home: 11, although this is influenced by the heavy defeat suffered against Barcelona (6-0).

Their attacking efficiency fails them when they need to impose their rhythm, and away from home they often find themselves up against opponents who are superior in numbers or initiative.

In historical clashes against Real Madrid, Valencia have won very few times (for example, 7 wins in 36 matches) and have been comparatively weak.

Their strengths may lie in a more defensive approach or counterattacking, taking advantage of spaces, and in the fact that they may be under less pressure when playing away.

But their weaknesses are obvious: a tendency to concede goals, difficulty in dominating possession and less consistency in creating clear chances.

My predictions for Real Madrid vs Valencia

Conservative prediction: Real Madrid win with a -1 handicap. Odds 1.55.
Given Real Madrid’s historical superiority at home against Valencia and their ability to dictate the pace, I think the most logical outcome is that they will get the three points without any major complications. Valencia have shown offensive weaknesses away from home, which reinforces the favourite’s chances.

BetoThe bold one

Real Madrid will win and there will be less than 4 goals in the match. Odds: 2.33.

Here, I imagine that even if Real Madrid wins, Valencia will not be completely passive and will at least be able to generate some danger or possession, which limits the total number of goals. Valencia’s counterattack can slow down the pace and prevent a high score, making it plausible that there will be, say, 2-3 goals in total in the match.