Real Madrid vs Žalgiris (Euroleague): odds and picks 20.11.2025

At home, Madrid are a hammer: medium pace, very controlled turnovers, and dominance of the rebound with Tavares/Poirier. When Campazzo wins the point of attack and they find the extra pass, a +7/+10 run appears without the need for crazy streaks. My take: if the match remains 5v5 and the bonus situation is well-managed, the script favours the hosts (White).

Žalgiris compete when they cool down the pace, protect their rim, and rely on set shots (Ulanovas/Dimša) plus Keenan Evans’ 2v2 play. They need a low score, their own offensive rebounds, and to draw free throws; if the contest speeds up, they struggle.

Information: Date, Time and Where to Watch the Match

• Competition: EuroLeague
• Date: Thursday 20 November

Odds for the Real Madrid vs Žalgiris Match Winner

(Reference odds; they may vary until the moment of the match)

Real Madrid Latest News

A deep and reliable block: Campazzo organises and punishes the slightest mistake; Musa/Hezonja create in 1v1; Deck is the glue; inside, Tavares/Poirier change the geometry on both ends.

Probable Starting Five and Key Players

• Point Guard: Facundo Campazzo – tempo, reading the game, and stealing half a point per night.
• Shooting Guard: Dzanan Musa – finding advantages without over-dribbling, scoring barometer.
• Small Forward: Gabriel Deck – mid-post and rebounding in traffic.
• Power Forward: Mario Hezonja / Guerschon Yabusele – pick&pop and punishing closeouts.
• Centre: Walter Tavares / Vincent Poirier – rebounding, blocking, and short-roll.

Keys: ≤11 turnovers, solid defensive rebounding, and denying opponent free throws. If the 3-point shooting is around ~36-37% and Tavares avoids two early fouls, the game will fall into their mould.

Žalgiris Kaunas Latest News

A serious, patient, and uncomfortable team when they can slow down the game. Evans leads the 2v2, Ulanovas and Dimša thrive on set shots, and Smits adds grit at the 4 spot. Inside, a rotation of size with Birutis/Hayes.

Probable Starting Five and Key Players

• Point Guard: Keenan Evans – creation in PnR (Pick and Roll), pull-up, and free throws.
• Shooting Guard: Tomas Dimša – outside threat from off-ball screens.
• Small Forward: Edgaras Ulanovas – 3&D, low post in a cross-match.
• Power Forward: Rolands Smits – mobile 4, pick&pop, help-side rebounding.
• Centre: Laurynas Birutis / Kevarrius Hayes – continuity and rim protection.

Game Plan: low pace, single-digit turnovers, loading the 45° with Smits, and living off drive-and-kick when Madrid collapses the paint.

Last Matchups and Pattern

In Madrid, when the ‘Whites’ dominate rebounding + free throws and don’t give the ball away, they close the game with a short margin. Žalgiris have ‘bitten’ (competed) the times they have achieved low scores and high percentages on set shots, forcing a two-possession finish.

Summary of Key Factors

• Pace: Medium → Madrid; Slow/Positional → Žalgiris.
• Rebounding: Advantage for the ‘Whites’ if Tavares/Poirier are on the court.
• Turnovers (11/12 threshold): Whoever wins this column sets the tempo.
• Corner three-pointer (Musa/Hezonja) vs 45° from Smits/Dimša.
• Bonus Management: Critical in the 2nd and 3rd quarters.
• Centre’s Fouls (both sides): they change all the spacing.

Real Madrid vs Žalgiris: Our Prediction

BeniThe conservative one

Real Madrid Win. Odds 1.34

At the WiZink, with more ways to score without depending on extreme accuracy and superior centres, the simple 1X2 has value within the range.

BetoThe bold one

Walter Tavares – 10+ rebounds. Odds 3.40

Half-court game and many contested shots: high rebounding volume. If Tavares avoids early fouls, that figure is very achievable and is usually accompanied by control of the match.

Personal Feeling: If the first quarter is under 40 points and Madrid controls their defensive glass, I see a fairly organic +7/+12 win for the ‘Whites’. If Žalgiris hits the straight-on three and reaches the 30-minute mark level, there will be a test until the end.