Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors (NBA): odds and picks 06.11.2025

This match-up between the Sacramento Kings and the Golden State Warriors has me very excited: on the one hand, the Warriors have better offensive numbers and some positive momentum; on the other, the Kings have the ability to surprise when their trio is working well.

Key factors to consider: Sacramento’s home strength contrasts with Golden State’s consistency on the road; in addition, recent streaks and team morale could make the difference.

We will have to see how the Kings respond without any major flaws in their rotation, and whether the Warriors maintain their outside efficiency (3-pointers, assists, quick movements).

If the Kings manage to impose a high tempo, they can make things difficult for Golden State; but if the Warriors control the tempo and shoot well from three, they have the advantage.

Sacramento Kings

The Kings come into the game looking to assert their status as a solid team, although they have had their ups and downs this season. Their overall statistics: they score approximately 115.0 points per game, with 25.5 assists and 37.5 rebounds on average.

In their last few games, they have alternated between close wins and losses that reveal a certain defensive vulnerability. At home, they tend to have extra offensive intensity, but they struggle when they are outpaced or forced to play long possessions.

Strengths: they have a powerful interior, are capable of dominating offensive rebounds and generate good finishes near the basket. They can also be punishing when they adjust their three-point shots well.

Weaknesses: They allow their opponents too much fluidity (the Warriors have already imposed uncomfortable rhythms on them) and sometimes lack consistency on the outside defence.

In recent matchups against Golden State, for example, the Kings have played well early on (such as the 129-99 win in January 2025) but have not always managed to maintain their lead. If they manage to start strong, they can force the game to be played at a fast pace — and that could be comfortable for them.

Golden State Warriors

For their part, the Warriors have a very strong offensive profile: they average 117.6 points per game, with 27.7 assists and 41.9 rebounds. They also continue to maintain their outside shooting ability — a key factor in these types of matchups against teams like Sacramento that try to dominate physically.

In their recent head-to-head matchups, Golden State has had overall dominance: in their last four games against Sacramento, they have averaged 119.5 points.

Their keys: speed, good ball movement, efficiency from the outside and defensive rebounding.

Their weakness: when their opponents impose a fast pace and force them to play uncomfortably, their shooting percentage can drop; in addition, with deeper rotations, they can have defensive ups and downs.

In this game, I expect the Warriors to try to impose that transition pace to score fluidly. If they manage to control the early minutes and prevent the Kings from growing too much, they will be in a good position.

My predictions for the Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

BeniThe conservative one

Golden State Warriors win. Odds 1.45.

Based on their recent form, offensive superiority and effectiveness in head-to-head matchups against the Kings, I see the Warriors as solid favourites. In a game that could be fast-paced, they have the advantage in tempo, assists and three-point shooting. Although the Kings could surprise us, the bet leans conservatively towards Golden State.

BetoThe bold one

Risky: Over 235.5 points. Odds 2.60.

If both teams play their usual style—the Kings looking for pace and the Warriors shooting from outside—it is very likely that the score will exceed 235.5 points. Recent matchups have far exceeded that figure (e.g., 130-104). Therefore, this market offers value with an open offensive scenario.