Spain vs England (UEFA Nations League) Odds and Bets 15.11.2026

Spain have made an excellent start to the Nations League, winning all four matches and scoring 12 goals. De la Fuente’s team opened with a 3-2 victory against England at Wembley before beating Croatia 4-1 at home. They followed that with a 3-1 victory over Czechia and another success against Croatia, winning 2-1 in Split. Spain have scored at least twice in every match, including against opponents with considerable international experience.

Their attacking quality has been impressive, particularly when Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams and Mikel Oyarzabal have been involved. However, Spain have also conceded in every group fixture, allowing five goals in total. Their willingness to commit players forward creates opportunities for opponents to attack the spaces left behind. That balance between attacking strength and defensive vulnerability is particularly relevant to Sunday’s goals markets.

England have responded strongly since losing 3-2 to Spain in September. Thomas Tuchel’s side beat Czechia 2-0 away from home before producing an extraordinary 7-0 victory against Croatia in Rijeka. They followed that result with a comfortable 3-0 win over Czechia at Wembley. England have scored 12 goals without conceding across those three matches, demonstrating considerable improvement in both departments.

Harry Kane remains the team’s principal attacking threat, while Jude Bellingham, Anthony Gordon and Morgan Rogers provide further creativity. Declan Rice’s return also strengthens England’s midfield, particularly against opponents who dominate possession. However, their defensive improvement will face a demanding test against Spain, who have scored at least twice in every group fixture.

Luis de la Fuente’s November squad includes Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, Mikel Oyarzabal, Pedri, Martín Zubimendi and Mikel Merino. Rodri and Dani Olmo were not included in the original 27-man selection. The squad has also undergone two recent changes. Ander Barrenetxea withdrew through injury on 8 November, with Jorge de Frutos called up as his replacement. Víctor Muñoz was then added to the squad on 9 November, providing another attacking option for the fixtures against Czechia and England.

Spain therefore retain considerable depth, although De la Fuente will need to manage minutes across two matches separated by just three days. The starting XI against England remains unconfirmed.

Thomas Tuchel named his November squad with several notable additions. Declan Rice, Ben White and Djed Spence return, while Jobe Bellingham and Josh King have received their first senior England call-ups. However, Bukayo Saka is unavailable through injury. Cole Palmer and Phil Foden were not selected, which should be distinguished from confirmed injury withdrawals. Marc Guéhi withdrew from the squad through injury on 9 November, with Dan Burn called up as his replacement.

A further update arrived on 10 November, when AFC Bournemouth defender James Hill received his first senior call-up. Ezri Konsa is unavailable against Croatia while following an individual training programme, but the FA expects him to resume full training before Sunday’s trip to Spain. His availability for the match in Madrid therefore remains subject to confirmation. With both sides facing demanding fixtures on Thursday, the final team selections could influence the betting markets.

1. Spain’s Scoring Consistency: La Roja have scored at least twice in all four Nations League matches. Every fixture has finished with more than 2.5 goals, supporting my main selection.
2. England’s Attacking Improvement: Tuchel’s side have scored 12 goals in their last three matches, including seven against Croatia. Spain’s defence will face a more confident England attack than it did in September.
3. Goals in the Previous Meeting: Spain won 3-2 at Wembley in September. Both teams created opportunities, and their attacking quality could produce another open contest.
4. Midfield Quality: Pedri and Zubimendi can control possession for Spain, while Rice and Bellingham give England the ability to compete centrally and attack quickly when possession changes.
5. Short Recovery Time: Both teams play on Thursday, just three days before Sunday’s fixture. Rotation, fitness and the outcome of those matches could affect how aggressively each manager approaches the game.