Valencia Basket vs Red Star (Euroleague): odds and picks 21.11.2025

A serious fixture at La Fonteta with the scent of a tough encounter. With odds of 1.49 for Valencia, the market is buying into home court advantage, defensive consistency, and the extra pass. The ‘Taronja’ (Orange) team feel comfortable at a medium pace, taking care of the ball and punishing opponents with the power-forward’s pick-and-pop to open up Costello’s short-roll. If they control turnovers (≤12) and protect their rim, they usually pull ahead after the break.

Crvena Zvezda (Red Star) (2.60) arrive with craft and physicality: lower pace, half-court play, reading the 2-man game (2×2), and strong hands at the point of attack. Their window for success: a low-scoring game, rebounding, and the free-throw line. If they force Valencia to score from mid-range and deny the corner, it will come down to fine details in the finish.

Information: Date, Time, and Where to Watch the Game

• Competition: EuroLeague
• Date: Friday 21 November

Odds for the Valencia Basket vs Crvena Zvezda Match Winner

(Reference odds; may vary up until the moment of the match)

Valencia Basket Latest News

A recognisable core: Thompson to set the rhythm (mark the pulse), Taylor pushing up the lines (defensively), and wings (alas) who get good shots after ball movement (circulación). Inside, Costello provides reading in the short-roll and an outside threat; Pradilla offers craft and contact; Sima provides legs and verticality.

Probable Starting Five and Roles

• Point Guard: Darius Thompson – tempo, one-on-one play (mano a mano) and corner pass.
• Shooting Guard: Kameron Taylor – 3&D (Three-and-D), drive and kick (penetrar y doblar).
• Small Forward: Josep Puerto – balance and help-side rebounding.
• Power Forward: Nate Reuvers / Jaime Pradilla – pick&pop, seals (sellos) and cuts.
• Centre: Matt Costello / Yankuba Sima – short-roll, roll-to-the-basket (continuación) and rim protection.

‘Taronja’ Keys: Turnovers ≤12, defensive rebounding to cut off second chances, and activating the extra pass. If the corner shooters (Puerto/Taylor/Reuvers) hit over 36% from 3P, the +/- will quickly tilt in their favour.

Crvena Zvezda (Red Star) Latest News

A half-court team with external bite and muscle in the 4-5 positions. Nedović remains the barometer for their streaks (rachas); Hanga provides reading and large-scale matchups; Davidovac/Ulanovas-like (3&D profile) close out rebounds and punish the corners; Mitrović offers craft in the post; in the 5 spot, a big interior player (Tobey/Bolomboy type) sets screens (fija) and hits the glass (carga cristal).

Probable Starting Five and Roles

• Point Guard: 2×2 creator (mid-range shot, reading the help defence).
• Shooting Guard: Nemanja Nedović – volume shooting and shooting off the dribble (tras bote).
• Small Forward: Adam Hanga / Dejan Davidovac – 3&D, rebounding, and experience.
• Power Forward: Luka Mitrović – mid-post, high IQ, and short pick&pop.
• Centre: Physical centres (rim protection and second chance opportunities).

Serbian Keys: Low pace, denying one-on-one play and corner shots, and earning free throws. If the game slows down to 5×5 with the bonus well-managed, they feel comfortable.

Recent Head-to-Heads and Pattern

When Valencia controls turnovers and finds the corner, La Fonteta pushes and they find short runs (parciales) of +6/+8. Crvena Zvezda have competed better when they have slowed the pace, crashed the boards (cargado rebote), and taken the duel to the line. At home, the third quarter usually sets the trend for the close.

Summary of Key Factors

• Pace: Medium → Valencia; Low/Positional → Crvena Zvezda.
• ‘Taronja’ defensive rebounding: essential to avoid conceding second chances.
• Turnovers (11-12 threshold): define tempo and transition.
• Corner three-pointer (Valencia) vs Visitor free throws.
• Centre fouls (both): change the geometry and the bonus situation.
• 3rd Quarter run: the usual window for a decisive break at La Fonteta.

Valencia vs Crvena Zvezda: Our Prediction

BeniThe conservative one

Valencia Win. Odds 1.49

Home court advantage, better defensive consistency, and more ways to score in the half-court (estático). If Valencia dominates their glass and keeps turnovers to a high single digit, they should manage the close.

BetoThe bold one

Valencia Winning Margin 6-10 points. Odds 3.20

This fits the most probable scenario: a tactical game, a local run after the half-time break, and final management without completely running away with the game. With Costello active in the short-roll and the corner players in form for stretches, a +6/+9 margin is very plausible.