Valencia vs Fenerbahçe (Euroleague): odds and picks 28.10.2025


A big game at the Roig Arena with a clash of styles. I really like Valencia at home: well-oiled defence, extra passing and a 4 who stretches (Reuvers/Pradilla) to clear the paint for Costello. If the Taronja control turnovers (≤12) and the open three-pointer appears, they usually pull away after the break.
Fenerbahçe brings skill and talent: a cerebral point guard to set the tempo, forwards who punish mismatches and a centre capable of living on the line. Their plan is clear: positional rhythm, rebounding and punishment in the post/short roll. If they slow down the pace and deny the corner, the script becomes theirs.
Information: date, time and where to watch the game
- Competition: Euroleague
- Date: Tuesday, 28 October 2025
Odds for the winner of the Valencia vs Fenerbahçe match
(Reference odds; may vary until the time of the match)
Latest news from Valencia
Recognisable and reliable team at home. Darius Thompson commands and punishes in one-on-one situations; Kameron Taylor provides legs and defence; Josep Puerto is a 3&D barometer; Reuvers/Pradilla stretch from 45º; Costello sets and produces in short rolls. Key factors for Valencia: don’t get into bonus territory too early, close down your hoop and live off the extra pass to the corner.
Probable starting five and key players
- Point guard: Darius Thompson
- Shooting guard: Kameron Taylor / Ike Iroegbu
- Small forward: Josep Puerto
- Power forward: Nate Reuvers / Jaime Pradilla
- Centre: Matt Costello / Yankuba Sima
Analysis: if Valencia keeps turnovers in single digits and exceeds ~36% on 3-pointers, Roig pushes forward and the game moves in his favour.
Fenerbahçe latest
A team with a lot of plays: point guard for the 2×2 and reading, forwards with points and a 5 who punishes continuation and rebounds. Strengths: composure in the final minutes, rebounding and free throws; weaknesses: suffers if they run after a turnover and if the opposing 4 opens up the court, forcing long help.
Probable starting five and key players
- Point guard: playmaker with good reading of the game (pick and roll and one-on-one)
- Shooting guard: hot shooter (catch & shoot + lateral pick & roll)
- Small forward: Nigel Hayes-Davis / Gudurić (points and free throws)
- Power forward: mobile four to stretch the defence
- Centre: Motley/Tarık (tough follow-up + rebounding)
Plan: slow down the pace, load up the glass and punish the middle post when Valencia changes assignments.
Recent match-ups and pattern
In Valencia, recent patterns suggest that the Roig factor weighs heavily: when the Taronja take care of the ball and find the corner, they open up a gap; Fener has bitten when it has imposed half court and won the defensive rebound, taking the game to the detail.
Summary of key factors
- Valencia turnovers (≤12) to avoid feeding the Turkish transition.
- Taronja defensive rebounding against Fener’s 5.
- Home three-pointers (Puerto/Taylor/Reuvers) as a barometer of the score.
- Pace: medium-high favours Valencia; slow and positional favours Fenerbahçe.
- Fouls by the 5 (both), which change the geometry and the bonus.
- Third quarter run, usual window for local breakaway.
Valencia vs Fenerbahçe: our prediction
Close game: with the home court advantage and a very replicable plan at home (extra pass + 4 open), I’m sticking with the cushion in favour of the home team. Even with a visiting surge, that margin keeps you in almost every time.
Although I’m backing Valencia, the Hayes-Davis pairing is sweet: if Fener gets half the court and forces help on the 4, he’ll find shots and trips to the line. It’s the most realistic way for the Turks to hold on at the end.

