Wimbledon 2026 favourites, odds and dark horses
Jannik Sinner leads the men’s market following Carlos Alcaraz’s withdrawal, while Aryna Sabalenka heads a wide-open women’s draw at SW19.
Jannik Sinner is the favourite to win Wimbledon 2026 following Carlos Alcaraz‘s withdrawal through injury, while Aryna Sabalenka heads a much more open women’s market. Here are the latest Wimbledon 2026 odds, favourites and dark horses ahead of the Championships at the All England Club that starts on Monday, June 29.
The Spaniard’s absence has changed the balance of the men’s draw and made defending champion Sinner the clear favourite to retain his title. Meanwhile, the women’s singles draw looks far less settled, with former champion Elena Rybakina, French Open winner Mirra Andreeva, defending champion Iga Świątek and Coco Gauff all firmly in contention.
Wimbledon 2026 outright odds are subject to change before and during the tournament, especially once the draw, injuries and early-round form are factored in.
Who is favourite to win Wimbledon 2026?
Jannik Sinner is the clear favourite to win Wimbledon 2026. The Italian won the 2025 title and returns as the player to beat, particularly with Alcaraz ruled out. His improved grass-court game, elite returning and ability to dominate from the baseline make him a deserved market leader.
Wimbledon 2026 men’s winner odds
The market behind Sinner remains competitive in the Wimbledon men’s outright odds. Djokovic’s experience and seven Wimbledon titles make him the most obvious challenger. Alexander Zverev, Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton complete the top five, although each comes with different questions.
| Player | Odds | Best Wimbledon result | Why they are among the favourites |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 4/7 | Champion | Defending champion and clear market leader with Alcaraz absent |
| Novak Djokovic | 5/1 | Champion | Seven-time Wimbledon winner with huge Centre Court experience |
| Alexander Zverev | 9/1 | Fourth round | French Open champion, though Wimbledon remains his weakest Slam |
| Taylor Fritz | 16/1 | Semi-final | Big serve, flat hitting and strong recent grass-court form |
| Ben Shelton | 20/1 | Quarter-final | Explosive left-handed serve and power game make him dangerous |
Sinner’s price is short, but understandable. He has already proved he can win Wimbledon and looks the most complete player in the field. His ability to return aggressively, absorb pace and strike cleanly off both wings gives him very few obvious weaknesses on grass.
Djokovic is the player nobody will want to face. At 5/1 in the men’s Wimbledon odds, he offers experience rather than surprise value. He has won Wimbledon as many as seven times and understands better than anyone how to manage best-of-five tennis on Centre Court. Even if he is no longer at his peak physically, his tennis IQ and grass-court movement keep him firmly in contention.
Zverev is third in the list of Wimbledon men’s favourites at 9/1, but his record in England makes him a complicated pick. He has never gone beyond the fourth round at SW19, despite his overall quality and recent Grand Slam success. His serve gives him a route through matches, but he still has more to prove on grass than Sinner, Djokovic or Fritz.
Fritz may be the more natural grass-court option at 16/1. He reached the Wimbledon semi-finals in 2025 and has the kind of serve-plus-forehand game that can win quick points on the surface. Shelton, at 20/1, is less reliable but dangerous. If his first serve is firing, he can drag higher-ranked opponents into tiebreaks and short-point battles.
Who are the favourites for Wimbledon 2026 women’s singles?
The women’s singles draw looks far more open. Aryna Sabalenka heads the outright market, but several players have realistic title ambitions.
Wimbledon 2026 women’s winner odds
The women’s Wimbledon odds are more evenly balanced than the men’s. Aryna Sabalenka Wimbledon odds at 7/2 make her the favourite, but she is still chasing her first Wimbledon title. Her power game clearly works on grass, although a recent defeat to Jessica Pegula in Berlin showed she is not untouchable.
Rybakina is second favourite at 6/1 and remains one of the most natural grass-court players in the field. She won Wimbledon in 2022 and has one of the best serves in the women’s game. The main concern is fitness after she withdrew from Bad Homburg with right hip discomfort.
Andreeva is priced at 8/1 after winning the French Open and continuing her rapid rise. Świątek is 17/2 despite being the defending Wimbledon champion, which reflects the fact that grass is still viewed as her least natural surface. Gauff is 14/1 and has the athleticism to go deep, but she will need to serve consistently and take control of points earlier than she often does on slower courts.
| Player | Odds | Best Wimbledon result | Why they are among the favourites |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 7/2 | Semi-final (2021, 2023, 2025) | World No. 1 whose power game suits grass |
| Elena Rybakina | 6/1 | Champion (2022) | Former champion with one of the best serves in the game |
| Mirra Andreeva | 8/1 | Quarter-final (2025) | French Open champion whose all-court game continues to improve |
| Iga Świątek | 17/2 | Champion (2025) | Defending Wimbledon champion and five-time Grand Slam winner |
| Coco Gauff | 14/1 | Fourth round | Elite athlete capable of making deep runs on any surface |
Who are the dark horses for Wimbledon 2026?
Wimbledon rewards certain skills more than ranking alone. A dominant serve, clean first-strike tennis and composure in tiebreaks can all turn outsiders into serious threats.
Men’s dark horses
| Player | Odds | Why they could surprise |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Menšík | 25/1 | Huge serve and fearless shot-making |
| Jack Draper | 25/1 | Home support and a powerful left-handed game |
| Daniil Medvedev | 35/1 | Awkward opponent who can frustrate rhythm players |
| Matteo Berrettini | 40/1 | Former finalist with a grass-court game built for SW19 |
| Alex de Minaur | 40/1 | Quick, consistent and comfortable on grass |
Among the men, Draper and Berrettini stand out as obvious grass-court danger picks. Draper has the left-handed serve, heavy forehand and crowd support to trouble anyone. Berrettini’s fitness is always the question, but his best tennis has historically translated beautifully to Wimbledon.
Noskova is one of the more interesting women’s outsiders after her Berlin title. Raducanu will attract attention because of the home factor, but her price depends heavily on fitness and draw. Krejcikova is the most eye-catching longshot because she has already won Wimbledon and is available at a far bigger number than many less proven contenders.
Women’s dark horses
| Player | Odds | Why they could surprise |
|---|---|---|
| Emma Raducanu | 22/1 | Home support and aggressive returning |
| Linda Noskova | 25/1 | Arrives with grass-court confidence after Berlin |
| Naomi Osaka | 30/1 | Big serve and first-strike power |
| Karolina Muchova | 30/1 | Variety and touch make her game ideal for grass |
Noskova is one of the more intriguing outsiders after her Berlin title. Raducanu’s chances will depend heavily on fitness and the draw, while Muchova’s all-court game makes her dangerous at bigger prices.
Which outsider could win Wimbledon 2026?
Several players outside the leading favourites could make surprise runs to the title.
Berrettini is a former Wimbledon finalist and remains dangerous whenever he is fully fit. Draper has the game to thrive on grass, while Menšík’s explosive serve gives him upset potential.
If you’re looking for a major shock winner, Frances Tiafoe at 66/1 is arguably the best value in the men’s category. Tifoe enters the tournament on the back of winning the biggest title of his career – the Terra Wortmann Open in Germany – defeating Taylor Fritz on grass which lifts him into the world’s top 20.
In the women’s draw, Noskova and Muchova possess the variety and power needed to trouble the favourites, while Naomi Osaka‘s first-strike tennis could become increasingly dangerous if she builds momentum.
However, one of the bigger prices in the women’s category is for Poland’s Maja Chwalińska. The 24-year-old went on a historic, fairytale run from the qualifiers to the 2026 French Open final last month, and has been rewarded with a wildcard to enter straight into Wimbledon.
At 80/1, Chwalińska could be one of the best outside picks for Wimbledon 2026.
Best value bets for Wimbledon 2026
Fritz looks like one of the stronger value options in the men’s draw. He is priced behind Zverev despite having a better recent Wimbledon record. Shelton is another high-upside selection, while Rybakina could represent value in the women’s market if concerns over her fitness ease. Noskova is another interesting option after her strong grass-court form.
Wimbledon 2026 predictions
Jannik Sinner Wimbledon odds look favourable as the Italian remains the man to beat following Alcaraz’s withdrawal. But while Fritz could offer value at bigger odds, Djokovic remains the most dangerous challenger – the Serbian’s reputation speaks for itself and, at 5/1, we’re predicting the legend to win another Wimbledon title in 2026.
In the women’s draw, Sabalenka heads a tightly packed field, although Rybakina and Świątek are also capable of lifting the Venus Rosewater Dish. However, we can’t look past Mirra Andreeva at 8/1 after her French Open win – her consistency and temperament at such a young age give the impression of a seasoned veteran and the wave of confidence she will be riding could propel her to glory at Wimbledon.
