Betis vs Atlético (Copa del Rey): odds and bets 05.02.2026

This Copa del Rey quarter-final (single match) has all the makings of a big game, with some very interesting details: La Cartuja, no safety net and a context in which whoever scores first usually wins the tie. In this type of match, Betis usually thrives on atmosphere and pace, but Atlético is one of the teams that best manages chaos: they know when to cool things down, when to speed up and how to survive if the match turns ugly.

This is how I see it: if Betis manages to get ahead and play close to the opponent’s area, they have a real chance (especially on the wings and on second plays). But if Atleti takes the lead, the script becomes very much theirs. Also, keep an eye on the physical context: Betis is missing some key players and Atlético has significant doubts up front, which could affect the goal market.

Betis

Betis are coming into the game feeling competitive, although they have been somewhat inconsistent due to the fixture list and injuries. In recent weeks, they have achieved results that tell me that Pellegrini’s team is alive and kicking, especially when they play with initiative and manage to maintain a high tempo. At home, they tend to be more recognisable: more fluid movement, more presence in the opposition’s half and more continuity in attacks down the wings.

In La Liga, their profile fits that description: at home they tend to score much more than away, and that counts for a lot in the Cup, with the atmosphere. Betis are a team that can beat you through accumulation (crosses, second plays, set pieces) and also through quality if they find their attacking midfielders between the lines. When they manage to play the game in the final third, they force their opponents to defend for long periods near the area.

The tricky part is the injury list. If key players in terms of creativity and threat are missing (especially between the lines and in the final pass), Betis loses its bite, and in a tie like this, you cannot live on crosses alone. Even so, if they manage to set the pace, attack the space behind the defence and overload the area with second-line attacks, they can hurt an Atlético side that sometimes struggles when forced to defend too close to their goal.

Atlético

Atlético arrive with that classic Simeone look: reliable, competitive and with a huge advantage in this type of game… they know how to play the tie, even if it is a single match. When Atleti smell the Cup, they usually go into “business mode”: they concede little, close ranks, choose well when to press and punish as soon as they detect an opponent’s mistake.

I think their away form is key: they are not a team that goes all out in these types of scenarios, and they are happy to let the game mature, wait for their window of opportunity and strike. This means that many of their away games are close: 0-1, 1-1, 0-0, and decided by small details (set pieces, transitions or a moment of quality).

In terms of injuries/doubts, Atlético have question marks up front. If their creative force is not 100%, the team tends to lose some of its ‘finesse’ and rely more on isolated plays, but their structure without the ball and their ability to compete in a single match remain top notch. If they manage to take the lead, they are one of the best teams around when it comes to closing out the game.

My predictions for Betis vs Atlético

BeniThe conservative one

Double chance: X2 (Atlético or draw). Odds 1.36

This is the type of bet I place when the tie looks close and the context ‘calls for’ maturity. Betis are strong at home and can win, yes, but they are hampered by significant injuries (especially if they lack creativity). Atlético, on the other hand, are specialists in not losing: they just need to hold on to the game, avoid mistakes and take advantage of a window of opportunity (set piece, transition or a quality move). In addition, the single-match format usually rewards the most reliable team without the ball.

BetoThe bold one

Atlético wins at half-time. Odds 2.75

Here I’m going to take a chance on a specific scenario: a serious start from Atleti, pressure after losing the ball at key moments and a narrow lead before half-time. Betis usually need a few minutes to settle when the game is very tense, and if they also have key players out, they may suffer in the period when Atlético are most dangerous: stealing the ball + quick breaks. It’s not a bet to go big on (low stake), but I like it because it doesn’t contradict the conservative pick: if Atlético takes an early lead, the double chance is almost on track and the match becomes very Simeone-esque.