Croatia vs England Prediction (UEFA Nations League) Odds and Bets 03.10.2026

Croatia host England in Rijeka for Matchday 3 of UEFA Nations League Group A3, with both teams on three points after two matches. England recovered from defeat to Spain by beating Czechia, while Croatia followed a win in Prague with a heavy loss against Spain.

The main angle is England’s stronger attacking threat against a Croatia side that still has enough quality to cause problems going forward.

How Croatia and England Arrive

Croatia have won three of their last five competitive matches, scoring in four of them, but defensive consistency remains a concern. Luka Modrić, Mateo Kovačić and Ivan Perišić still give them plenty of technical quality, although faster opponents have been able to expose space around their defensive structure.

England have also won three of their last five, but their attacking numbers are stronger, with 13 goals across that run. Harry Kane remains the main reference in attack, supported by players such as Bukayo Saka, Jude Bellingham and Anthony Gordon. Key factors:

Recent Head to Head and Match Outlook

The recent numbers point towards a match with chances at both ends. England have the stronger attacking profile, but Croatia’s midfield quality and recent scoring record make a clean sheet difficult to assume.

Both teams have seen BTTS land in four of their last five matches, while Croatia have already conceded five goals in two Nations League fixtures. That makes an England-leaning approach attractive, but with room for Croatia to score rather than expecting the visitors to dominate from start to finish.

Croatia vs England Odds

The outright prices underline England’s status as favourites, but I think the more useful distinction is between safety and value. England or draw is obviously much shorter, but it protects against Croatia’s ability to slow the game down through midfield. At the other end of the spectrum, England to win with both teams scoring gives us a much bigger price while remaining consistent with the recent scoring trends. Odds can move before kick-off.