Ireland vs Argentina Prediction (Nations Championship) Odds and Bets 06.11.2026

Ireland collected two wins from their opening three Nations Championship matches in July. Farrell’s side began with a narrow 33-31 victory against Australia in Sydney before beating Japan 36-20. However, their final July fixture ended in a disappointing 40-21 defeat against New Zealand at Eden Park. Ireland scored 90 points across those matches but conceded 91, highlighting both their attacking potential and defensive inconsistencies. Their preparation for Argentina has been complicated by injuries. Caelan Doris, Jack Crowley, Jack Conan and Garry Ringrose are unavailable, leaving gaps across the forwards and backs.

Dan Sheehan will captain the squad, while the returns of Andrew Porter, Ryan Baird and Mack Hansen provide some encouragement. Ireland still possess the structure, kicking game and set-piece quality to control long periods, particularly on home soil.

Argentina’s July Nations Championship campaign produced one victory and two defeats. Los Pumas opened with a 47-38 loss against Scotland before responding with a convincing 35-21 win over Wales. They then pushed England throughout their final fixture, eventually losing 31-24. Despite winning only once, Argentina scored 97 points across those three matches, averaging more than 32 per game.

Their attacking ambition remains a major strength, particularly when they can play quickly and challenge opposition defences around the breakdown. However, Santiago Carreras is unavailable after suffering a serious knee injury. His absence reduces Argentina’s options at fly-half and full-back. Felipe Contepomi’s side have enough quality to challenge Ireland, but their defensive record leaves the hosts opportunities to exploit.

1. Ireland’s Home Advantage: The Aviva Stadium provides Farrell’s side with familiar conditions and strong support. Their territorial kicking and set-piece organisation should help establish control.
2. Important Irish Absences: Doris, Crowley, Conan and Ringrose are unavailable. Their absence forces changes to several established combinations.
3. Argentina’s Attacking Quality: Los Pumas scored 97 points in three July fixtures, including 38 against Scotland and 24 against England.
4. Defensive Performances: Both teams conceded more than 30 points per game during July. Improving their defensive organisation will be particularly important.
5. The Winning-Margin Market: Ireland are strong favourites, but Argentina’s attacking potential makes the handicap interesting. I’m taking the straightforward home win as my main selection.