Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA): odds and bets 10.02.2026

The Lakers host the Thunder at Crypto.com Arena in the early hours of Tuesday 10 February in a match that looks set to be a real “thermometer” for both teams. Oklahoma arrives with a better record and a more reliable profile over 48 minutes, but the context suggests a closer game than the standings suggest: a demanding schedule, rotation issues and a Lakers team that, at home, tends to compete better when the script gets messy.

The key, for me, is the pace: if OKC imposes its perimeter defence and controls turnovers, it will win the game by inertia. If the game becomes a half-court affair, with long possessions and less transition, the Lakers’ chances increase… especially if their opponents are missing key players and their perimeter shooting is off.

Latest news from the Los Angeles Lakers

The Lakers’ report revolves around the availability of key players: there are doubts about the inside rotation and also the outside handling, which may affect the plan (more small-ball, more minutes for the second unit, etc.). In a match against an intense team, their priority will be to protect the rebound and minimise turnovers so as not to give away easy points.

Latest news on the Oklahoma City Thunder

In OKC, the news is clear: they are coming in with significant losses, especially one that affects their ability to generate advantages in 1v1 situations. Even so, it is a team that maintains its identity: defence, legs, and a lot of tactical discipline. If they are accurate, they can survive without shining; if not, the game can quickly become even.

Summary of the key factors in this match

• Injuries/rotations: the value of each possession increases if key playmakers or centres are missing.
• Loss control: OKC punishes a lot in transition; the Lakers cannot “give away” 10-15 points.
• Pace: the faster the pace, the more advantage for the Thunder; the slower the pace, the more of a “details” game it becomes.
• Perimeter defence: whoever wins the three-point battle (volume + quality) usually tips the balance.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder: our prediction

BeniThe conservative one

Under 236.5 points. Odds 1.55

With the absences and the possibility of limited rotations, I expect a less “exciting” game than usual: more static attacks, less transition and more long possessions. Furthermore, if OKC prioritises defence and control, the game could end up with a score of 112-108 instead of a constant exchange. Ideal if the start is a bit slow.

BetoThe bold one

Lakers win + Under 236.5 points. Odds 3.60

Here I’m going against the grain based on context: at home, if the game gets tight and the Thunder are without their main playmaker, the Lakers can scrape through on craft, rebounding and half-court defence. You need a contained scoring script (no ‘run and gun’) and a tight finish where home court advantage really counts.