New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks (NBA): odds and picks 29.11.2025

A big clash at the Garden to close out the NBA Cup group stage. The Knicks come into the game feeling like they have it where they want it: medium pace, sustained defence and a Madison Square Garden crowd that is really pushing them this season. I think it will be a game controlled by New York, without the need to show off, but punishing every mistake Milwaukee makes.

The schedule factor weighs heavily: New York lands at home after a well-managed trip and with high morale; Milwaukee, meanwhile, needs to raise its competitive peak away from home and adjust its defensive balance. If the rebound and turnover control lean towards the home side, the script moves towards a “percentage” game in which the favourite consolidates.

Latest news on the New York Knicks

The Knicks are riding a wave of positive momentum: consistency at the back, impact from the bench and home efficiency that is evident in their in-game runs. I like how they are selecting shots and closing down their hoop; when they don’t give away second chances, their plan gains solidity. Key: maintain the pace away from the ups and downs and don’t rush with the advantage.

Latest news on the Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee has plenty of talent to make an impact, but their defence is inconsistent, which is accentuated on the road. If the Bucks take care of turnovers and find consistency from the three-point line, they can raise their ceiling; if not, they will struggle to come back from deficits. For me, the key is in transition: either they run cleanly, or the game will be a long one for them.

Summary of key factors in this game

• Venue: Madison Square Garden.
• Recent trend: Knicks more reliable at home; Milwaukee inconsistent on the road.
• Expected pace: medium; suits NYK because it minimises mistakes and punishes mid-court.
• Rebounds and turnovers: if NYK dominates its own boards and avoids unforced turnovers, it will set the tone.
• MIL’s supporting three-pointers: their variability will determine whether there is a surprise or a close finish.
• Main market: home favouritism and high totals typical of these matchups.

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks: our prediction

BeniThe conservative one

Match winner – Knicks. Odds: 1.35.

I’ll stick with the simple 1X2: better home dynamics, Garden tilting and a plan that doesn’t depend on extreme percentages. With controlled pace and reliable defensive rebounding, their competitive “floor” is higher. I prefer to secure the cash with the moneyline rather than demand a margin that a visiting surge could cut into at the clutch.

BetoThe bold one

Match winner – Bucks. Odds: 3.10

It goes against my main reading, yes, but it makes sense if Milwaukee connects on outside shots and converts turnovers into easy points. In that scenario, the game speeds up and the home favouritism loses weight. Bet for profiles that accept variance and are looking for long odds on a high total.