Panathinaikos vs Valencia (Euroleague): odds and picks 05.12.2025

Big clash at the OAKA this Friday, 5 December. The preview tells me it will be a clash of styles: Panathinaikos will want to impose controlled possessions, punish in the middle of the court and live off the atmosphere; Valencia needs to run after rebounds and open up the court with three-pointers so that the game doesn’t drag on.

My feeling is that we will see a close score if the Taronja team reduces turnovers; if not, the favourites will end up slowing the game down. Keep an eye on the schedule and the travel: the start could weigh on Valencia and define the momentum. Defensive rebounding and bonus management will dictate whether the game speeds up or gets bogged down in five-on-five play.

Panathinaikos latest

They arrive solid at home and with a recognisable plan: medium pace, good shot selection and a lot of discipline on the weak side. In Athens, they tend to close down their hoop and punish every opponent’s turnover with ‘cheap’ points. If they set the tempo and control the rebound, they feel comfortable managing two or three-possession leads.

Latest news on Valencia

Away from home, they are at their best when they protect the ball and find three-pointers on the break, rather than in prolonged static play. They must reduce turnovers and avoid second options so as not to live on partial impacts. If the bench provides real energy in the second quarter, the game will open up and there will be life in the final stretch.

Summary of the key factors in this game

• Schedule and venue: Friday 05/12; OAKA pushes hard.
• Pace: Panathinaikos comfortable in the half court; Valencia needs to speed things up.
• Visiting defensive rebounding: Key to running and not getting stuck.
• Turnovers: Threshold ≈ 12; below that, Valencia competes.
• Triple taronja: If it reaches 37%, the script changes.
• Foul bonus: Free throws will decide close games.
• First quarter: Can set the tone for the trip/atmosphere.
• Expected line: Clear home favouritism; short-medium handicap.

Panathinaikos vs Valencia: our prediction

BeniThe conservative one

Panathinaikos wins (1X2). Odds 1.32.

I like the solidity of the home team’s plan on their court, where control of the pace and rebounding reduces variance. In a back-and-forth battle, the favourite tends to close out critical possessions better and force decisive free throws. It’s a pragmatic choice: no frills, but with the odds in their favour.

BetoThe bold one

Valencia wins. Odds 3.60.

There is value if the Taronja team cleans up turnovers and turns the game into transitions and three-pointers on arrival. If the outside shooting is on target and the bench adds energy, they can stay alive in the last two minutes and strike in the details. It is a less likely scenario, but consistent with a higher-paced script.