Tottenham vs Newcastle (Premier League): odds and bets 10.02.2026

This is a big game in terms of context: it will be played on Tuesday, 10 February 2026, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, with both teams in an uncomfortable position in the table (Tottenham 15th / Newcastle 12th). In this type of ‘nerve-wracking’ match, I believe that details (set pieces, turnovers and management of the final minutes) are more important than pure talent.

The key is physical condition and rotation: Tottenham are coming off a demanding schedule and are severely hampered by injuries; Newcastle are also struggling and under added pressure due to their recent form. Given this scenario, I see a more open game than the standings suggest: an uneven pace, but with chances in both areas.

Tottenham

To me, the current Tottenham side seems like a team with two sides to it: it competes in spurts, but struggles to maintain the same concentration for 90 minutes. It is coming off a 2-0 defeat at Old Trafford and, before that, a 2-2 draw against City, as well as away draws such as the 2-2 at Burnley. What I do like (and is important for betting) is that when they manage to accelerate down the wings and charge into the area, they create chances even without dominating.

The big problem today is the list of absentees: they are without Cristian Romero (suspended) and several creative/offensive players such as Maddison and Kulusevski, as well as physical doubts in different areas. This forces them to field a more ‘functional’ starting eleven, with less pause and more direct play. At home, they usually push forward thanks to the stadium’s momentum, but if they don’t take the lead early on, their anxiety shows: the team breaks down and concedes transitions.

Tactically, my reading is clear: Tottenham need to avoid back-and-forth games because, with this patched-up defence, every loss is half a goal against. If they manage to attack with patience and protect themselves with a strong midfield, they have a real chance of winning the game by small margins.

Newcastle

Newcastle arrive in a strange mood: they have suffered a string of heavy defeats in the league (e.g. 4-1 at Anfield) and are coming off a 2-3 loss to Brentford; but even so, they are a team that usually “has goals” even on bad days. The context also speaks of tension: there is talk of pressure on Eddie Howe due to the recent run of form.

What influences my prediction the most is the injury/doubt report: Joelinton is ruled out and Anthony Gordon and Lewis Miley are carrying knocks. Add to that the fact that they are not reliable away from home (without a win away since December according to the English press), and the scenario is one of a competitive Newcastle… but a vulnerable one.

Even so, their ceiling is high: with Bruno Guimarães and Tonali available, they can dominate in the centre; and up front they have the players to punish a weakened defence, especially by attacking the full-backs. For me, Newcastle are more dangerous when they don’t obsess over possession and play vertically after winning the ball back: that’s where Tottenham suffer.

Referee: Anthony Taylor

Anthony Taylor has been appointed. For disciplinary bets, I think this is relevant because this season in the Premier League he has a high average number of cards: around 4.2 yellows per game, with the occasional red. With two tense teams, injuries and a direct battle to “get out of trouble”, I always appreciate that Taylor is not one to let everything slide: if the game heats up with transitions and mistimed tackles, the cards tend to come out.

My predictions for Tottenham vs Newcastle

BeniThe conservative one

Both teams to score – Yes (BTTS). Odds 1.61

My reasoning: I see too many ingredients for goals at both ends. Tottenham, despite injuries, push hard at home and are coming off a 2-0 win over City; Newcastle, even when losing, tend to create chances and the match invites transitions. Furthermore, with weakened defences (especially Spurs without Romero), I find it hard to imagine a “closed” script like 0-0 or 1-0.

BetoThe bold one

Tottenham to win. Odds 2.88

Here I am going against fear: if Newcastle arrive injured and without Joelinton, they lose a lot of their ability to sustain duels and second plays. Tottenham, even when playing badly, have the home advantage and have already shown that they can compete with top rivals at home (2-2 with City). My reading is that if Spurs score first, Newcastle will open up and the match could fall to the home side due to their momentum… even if they suffer.