West Ham vs Manchester United (Premier League): odds and bets 10.02.2026

This West Ham–United match comes with two very different but equally pressing issues: the Hammers are fighting to avoid relegation (18th), while United are on a roll and have already moved up to 4th place after a dramatic turnaround in recent weeks. For me, the key factor is the script: West Ham at home are forced to compete with intensity (and sometimes overdo it), and United are at that point where every transition hurts their opponents. If the game opens up early, I see more chances for goals and cards than a “controlled” match from start to finish.

West Ham

West Ham are coming in with knives between their teeth, and that’s evident in their recent results: they’re coming off a 3-0 win over Wolves, a 2-1 loss to Forest, a 2-1 loss to Tottenham, and a string of impressive wins, including 3-1 over Sunderland and 3-2 over Chelsea. In other words, they are inconsistent, but they are competitive and are finding ways to pick up points in games that they would have lost a month ago.

At home, my reading is that West Ham are extremely dangerous when they manage to make the game physical: second plays, crosses from the wings and set pieces. That’s where they tend to thrive, and it also gets the stadium going. The problem is the other side: if they have to defend deep with metres behind them, they suffer greatly against opponents with mobility and attacking threat from the second line.

Also, keep an eye on the disciplinary context: the team is under a lot of pressure and when the game becomes a back-and-forth affair, West Ham tends to resort to fouls. In a match like this, I like to think about card markets or ‘both teams to score’ rather than a simple win.

Manchester United

United are on a roll: four wins in a row and, most importantly, they look like a team that knows exactly how to play. In their last league games, they have beaten City 2-0, Arsenal 3-2 away, Fulham 3-2 and Tottenham 2-0. Even when they are not dominating, they punish their opponents.

What convinces me to bet on United is not just the streak: it’s the type of victories. They are winning games “by details” and also games “by force”. That’s gold when you go out to a stadium where your opponent is going to push you for 20-30 minutes, no matter what.

The note of caution is in the absences: for this trip, there are important names with physical problems, and that affects rotations and game plans. For example, De Ligt is out, Patrick Dorgu is also out, and Mason Mount is a major doubt. Even so, given their momentum and the way they are performing, I find it hard to go against United if the match enters a phase of trading blows.

Referee: Simon Hooper

The referee is Simon Hooper, and for disciplinary bets, I think he’s a good fit for this match. This season in the Premier League, he has refereed 14 matches, with an average of approximately 3.64 yellow cards and 0.14 red cards per match (51 yellow cards and 2 red cards in total). In addition, in his matches, there have been “both teams scoring” in 11 out of 14 (78.6%), a statistic that reinforces the idea of an open script.

With West Ham in need and United attacking a lot on the counter, I can see plenty of tactical fouls and bookings, especially if the score is tight in the second half.

My predictions for West Ham vs Manchester United

BeniThe conservative one

Both teams to score – Yes (BTTS). Odds 1.55.

I’m betting on this because the script calls for it: West Ham, at home and needing points, usually find moments of momentum and chances; and United, right now, convert half of their opponents’ mistakes into clear chances. In addition, the context of the referee (very high BTTS in his matches this season) fits with this reading. If you force me to choose a “base” market for this match, I’ll go with BTTS over 1X2.

BetoThe bold one

Manchester United to win and both teams to score (2 & BTTS Yes). Odds 3.10

Here’s my prediction: I think West Ham can score through pressure, set pieces or a period of the game where United are forced to defend their area. But I also think that United, with their dynamism and striking power, have more tools to win even if they concede. If the match breaks down, United usually benefits because they have more players and finish better. And if United takes the lead, West Ham will be forced to open up, which is exactly where United has been doing damage lately.