Uruguay v Cape Verde – predictions and odds – 2026 World Cup (21/06/2026)

Matchday two of Group H brings us a clash of contrasting needs and styles in Miami. Following an unexpected 1-1 draw in their opening match against Saudi Arabia, Marcelo Bielsa’s Uruguay side are under pressure; failing to secure all three points would seriously jeopardise their chances of progressing to the round of 16 ahead of their clash with Spain. Cape Verde, for their part, are brimming with confidence after pulling off one of the tournament’s biggest upsets by securing a historic 0-0 draw against Spain, thanks to a colossal performance from their veteran goalkeeper Vozinha.

Bielsa will stick to his uncompromising approach of high pressing and vertical transitions. The absence of Ronald Araujo in defence due to a niggle means they must remain on their guard against Ryan Mendes’ counter-attacks, but the real challenge for the Celeste will lie in their attacking fluidity. In their opening match, they lacked finesse in the final third and Darwin Núñez was very isolated, so the Rosario-born manager is considering bringing in fresh legs on the flanks alongside Canobbio. The key will lie in midfield: if Fede Valverde and Rodrigo Bentancur manage to move the ball quickly to break down the Africans’ deep-lying block, chances will come through wearing them down.

Cape Verde will once again park the bus at the back. They know their chances lie in emulating the defensive stalemate that drove Spain to despair: lines packed tightly together, Spartan discipline and waiting for an isolated counter-attack.

Given the outlook, I foresee a gruelling match. Uruguay will have to grind it out against a defensive wall that has already proved to be as solid as reinforced concrete. The Charrúas’ class and determination should ultimately prevail, but it won’t be a goal-fest. La Celeste will win through their experience and sheer tenacity, keeping the scoreline tight.