England vs Australia Prediction (Nations Championship) Odds and Bets 08.11.2026

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England
Australia
Nations Championship, 15:10 @ 08.11.2026

England welcome Australia to Twickenham on Sunday 8 November for Round 4 of the 2026 Nations Championship. Steve Borthwick’s side won two of their three July fixtures, while the Wallabies arrive after a difficult pair of defeats against New Zealand.

My prediction favours the hosts, whose forward strength and home advantage could prove decisive. Australia have the attacking quality to make this competitive, but their recent defensive performances leave plenty of questions.

England vs Australia: Match Preview

England are clear favourites for Sunday’s encounter, looking to extend their recent improvement against a dangerous but inconsistent Australian side.

Match informationDetails
CompetitionNations Championship 2026
DateSunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off3:10pm GMT
VenueAllianz Stadium, Twickenham
UK TVITV1 / ITVX
RoundNorthern Hemisphere Series, Round 4

England won the previous meeting 25-7 at Twickenham in November 2025, although Australia secured a dramatic 42-37 victory at the same venue a year earlier. Those results underline the visitors’ attacking potential, but England’s recent improvement makes them favourites this time.

Recent Form and Key Results

England enjoyed a stronger July Nations Championship campaign, although both teams demonstrated their ability to score against international opposition.

Nations Championship statisticsEnglandAustralia
Matches played33
Wins21
Defeats12
Points scored125114
Points conceded7785
Points difference+48+29
Championship table points108
England opened with a 45-21 defeat against South Africa before responding with a 73-8 demolition of Fiji and a hard-fought 31-24 victory over Argentina. Australia lost narrowly to Ireland (33-31) and France (42-26) before beating Italy 57-10. However, the Wallabies’ subsequent results have been mixed. Victories against Argentina and South Africa demonstrated their quality, but New Zealand exposed their defensive weaknesses in October. The All Blacks scored 93 points across two matches against Australia, winning 50-19 and 43-21.

Team News and the Main Uncertainty

England have several selection concerns ahead of Sunday’s fixture. Alex Mitchell is unavailable with a hamstring injury, while Fin Smith has been managing a calf problem. Tom Curry’s fitness also requires monitoring. Maro Itoje and Ben Earl provide important leadership in the forwards, particularly around the breakdown and set-piece. Australia welcome back several experienced players, including Taniela Tupou, Tom Hooper and Hunter Paisami.

Carter Gordon has also returned to the squad, while Fraser McReight remains a major threat at the breakdown. The main uncertainty is whether England can establish control without Mitchell’s influence at scrum-half, particularly against Australia’s energetic back row.

Tactical Analysis: Can England Exploit Australia’s Defence?

England’s strongest route to victory lies in their forward power, territorial kicking and ability to maintain pressure through repeated phases. Their 25-7 victory against Australia last November demonstrated how effective that approach can be at Twickenham. The Wallabies have the attacking quality to cause problems, particularly through quick transitions and wide combinations. However, their defensive performances against New Zealand were concerning. Conceding 93 points across two Tests suggests England could find opportunities if they establish a strong platform.

Borthwick’s side scored 104 points across their last two Nations Championship fixtures, highlighting their potential when attacking combinations click. Australia have also shown they can compete against strong opposition, so I wouldn’t expect a comfortable victory automatically. Nevertheless, England’s greater consistency, forward strength and home advantage make them my preferred selection.

England vs Australia: 1X2 Betting Odds

England are clear favourites for Sunday’s Nations Championship encounter, reflecting their home advantage and stronger July results.

Match result (80 minutes)Odds
England to Win3/10
Draw20/1
Australia to Win5/2

England to Win at 3/10 is my preferred conservative selection. Their forward strength and previous victory against Australia at Twickenham provide strong reasons to favour the hosts. However, the Wallabies have enough attacking quality to make this competitive.

England vs Australia: Alternative Betting Odds

The handicap market offers a bigger return for those expecting England to turn their forward advantage into a convincing victory.

Betting marketOdds
England -8.5 Points Handicap9/10
England -8.5 at 9/10 is my preferred higher-risk selection. Australia conceded heavily against New Zealand in October, while England have demonstrated their ability to score when controlling territory and possession. The hosts must win by at least nine points to cover the handicap.

Indicative pre-match odds from 5 November 2026. Prices may change before kick-off. All markets refer to 80 minutes plus stoppage time.

England vs Australia Predictions

Beni
The conservative one
Beni

England to Win

Odds 3/10

I'm keeping this one simple. England won their last two Nations Championship matches and brushed Australia aside at Twickenham last November. The Wallabies have plenty of talent, but I trust England's pack and home advantage to get the job done. No need to complicate it.

Supported by
Beto
The bold one
Beto

England -8.5 Handicap

Odds 9/10

I'm backing England to make a statement. Australia shipped 93 points against the All Blacks in October, and England have enough firepower to exploit those gaps. If Borthwick's forwards set the tempo, I fancy the hosts to win by nine or more. That's my play.

Supported by
England to Win
Category Rugby
Odds
Chooses
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Daniel Harris Tipster
Expert sports betting analyst
Originally from Manchester, Daniel has been following English football and betting on sport for years. He now covers football and tennis as part of the BetBrothers tipster team, researching every selection before sharing it. His approach is simple: follow the sport closely, do the homework and only back a bet when he thinks the odds are worth it.

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