Liverpool vs Como Prediction (Club Friendly) Odds and Bets 16.08.2026

Liverpool round off their public pre-season programme against Como at Anfield on Sunday, and I think there is more to this friendly than the badge difference suggests. The Reds have twice surrendered 2-0 leads in their last two outings, while Cesc Fàbregas’ Como arrive after holding Arsenal to a 1-1 draw at the Emirates. Liverpool are rightly favourites, but their defensive vulnerability and the unusual scheduling — the clubs also meet behind closed doors earlier on Sunday — make team selection and game management particularly important to the betting angle.

Liverpool vs Como Date, Kick-off Time and Match Details

The 6:00pm game is the public Anfield fixture. Liverpool and Como will also play a separate behind-closed-doors match at 11:30am BST on the same day. Liverpool confirmed on 13 August that the earlier match had been brought forward by half an hour, while the Anfield kick-off remains unchanged. Both games are available through Liverpool’s All Red Video service.

How Liverpool and Como Are Looking

Liverpool Form

What stands out to me about Liverpool’s pre-season is not simply that they have lost their last two matches. It is how those defeats developed.

Against Leeds, Andoni Iraola’s side went into half-time 2-0 ahead before conceding four times after the break. A week later, they were 2-0 up against Monaco inside half an hour, only to lose 3-2 after Paris Brunner’s late winner.

There has been plenty to like going forward. Alexander Isak and Florian Wirtz both scored against Monaco, and Liverpool’s early pressing and combinations caused real problems. The drop in intensity as matches progress is the concern.

Availability is improving, although Liverpool’s latest official injury update still lists Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike, Giovanni Leoni and Joe Gomez among those sidelined. Jeremy Jacquet was expected to be close to returning, while Curtis Jones had been managing a minor hip issue.

Como Form

Como arrive in much better results-based form and I would be wary of treating them like ordinary pre-season opposition.

Their most recent match was Wednesday’s friendly against Arsenal at the Emirates. Como fell behind but Martin Baturina equalised before half-time, and the match finished 1-1 after 90 minutes before Arsenal won the subsequent shoot-out. Fàbregas was able to give minutes to a wide group of players, including Yan Couto, Nico Paz’s fellow attacking options and new defender Trevoh Chalobah.

Before travelling to England, Como beat Famalicão 3-2, with Anastasios Douvikas scoring twice and Assane Diao also finding the net. Their recent run also includes a 2-2 friendly with Paris FC and strong Serie A results against Cremonese and Parma.

Key Factors Behind My Liverpool vs Como Prediction

1. Liverpool Have Started Well but Faded Badly

The same warning sign has appeared twice. Liverpool established 2-0 leads against both Leeds and Monaco and lost both matches.

Iraola’s football demands intensity without the ball, and pre-season substitutions naturally disrupt that structure. If Liverpool field something close to their preferred XI for the evening fixture, I expect the first hour to look stronger than some of their recent final half-hours.

2. Como Are Capable of Punishing Liverpool’s Defensive Gaps

A 1-1 draw against Arsenal four days before this match is useful evidence of Como’s level. They did not simply defend for 90 minutes: Baturina found an equaliser and Fàbregas used enough first-team quality to make the result meaningful as a pre-season indicator.

Liverpool have conceded seven goals in their last two matches, which is why a clean-sheet angle does not interest me at the available prices.

3. The Double-Header Creates Selection Uncertainty

This is the most unusual part of the fixture and, in my view, one of the most important betting considerations.

Liverpool and Como meet at 11:30am behind closed doors before playing again at Anfield at 6:00pm. That means both coaches can distribute minutes across their squads rather than making wholesale changes during the evening match.

4. Como Have Less Recovery Time

Liverpool’s previous match was against Monaco on 9 August, giving them a full week between public fixtures. Como played Arsenal on 12 August, leaving only four days before Anfield. That matters slightly more because Como are in the middle of a UK training camp and will also need to divide their squad across Sunday’s two games.

5. Liverpool’s Price Is Backable, but I Would Not Chase It

The latest bet365 snapshot I found has Liverpool at 1.68, with the draw and Como both 3.90. A wider odds comparison currently shows Liverpool available between roughly 1.72 and 1.81 with other operators, highlighting just how much variation there is in a friendly market.

At 1.68, Liverpool need to win roughly 59.5% of the time for the raw implied probability to be justified. I have them a little higher than that if the expected first-team core starts.

Liverpool vs Como Statistics

 That makes a comfortable 2-0 type of home victory harder for me to trust than a Liverpool win in a game where Como also have chances.

Liverpool vs Como Odds

The following bet365 prices were available in the latest odds comparison checked on 14 August 2026:

Prices on friendlies can move sharply once starting line-ups are released, so these should be treated as a current market snapshot rather than guaranteed kick-off odds.