Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Prediction (Premier League) Odds and Bets 18.10.2026


Arsenal are chasing another Premier League title, but the City Ground has proved a frustrating hunting ground for Mikel Arteta’s men.
The defending champions visit Nottingham Forest on Sunday, 18 October, having won five of their opening six league matches. Forest, meanwhile, sit 15th under Oliver Glasner and have yet to score a home league goal.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Date, Kick-Off Time and Match Details
| Match information | Details |
|---|---|
| Fixture | Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal |
| Competition | Premier League 2026/27 |
| Matchweek | 7 |
| Date | Sunday, 18 October 2026 |
| Kick-off | 4:30pm BST |
| Venue | The City Ground, Nottingham |
| Referee | Michael Oliver |
| UK TV coverage | Sky Sports |
How Are Nottingham Forest and Arsenal Looking?
Nottingham Forest Form: Creating Chances, Missing Goals
Forest’s numbers tell a frustrating story. They have created around 10.2 xG in six league games, but scored only five times. The City Ground record is even more worrying: three Premier League matches, no wins and no goals.
That doesn’t mean Forest are toothless. They are getting into useful positions and showed against Crystal Palace that they can threaten early. The issue is turning those moments into something meaningful. With several players also carrying fitness concerns, Glasner needs more efficiency at both ends. Against Arsenal, wasted chances could be costly.
Arsenal Form: Strong Results, Growing Confidence
Arsenal arrive in much stronger shape, with five wins from six league matches and confidence building again after the defeat at Brighton. The 3-0 Champions League win over Lille showed why this squad is so dangerous. Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze and Jurriën Timber all made an impact, giving Arteta several ways to change a game.
Defensive injuries are still worth monitoring, but Arsenal look sharper where it matters most. Forest may create chances. Arsenal are simply much better at taking theirs.
Key Factors Behind My Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Prediction
- Arsenal Have the More Reliable Attack
Both teams have generated similar expected-goal totals, but Arsenal have scored twice as many league goals. That finishing advantage could prove decisive against a Forest side struggling to turn opportunities into points. - Forest Cannot Buy a Home Goal
Three league matches at the City Ground without scoring is a worrying statistic. Arsenal have already kept three clean sheets this season, making another frustrating afternoon a real possibility for the hosts. - Injuries Could Give Forest an Opening
Arsenal’s defensive absences create some uncertainty, while their Champions League commitments add to the workload. Forest have enjoyed a longer break and could exploit any mistakes on the counterattack. - Arsenal Have Struggled at This Ground
Their last two Premier League visits ended 0-0. Forest have shown they can frustrate Arteta’s side, even when Arsenal dominate possession. Another tight encounter wouldn’t surprise me. - Is Arsenal’s Price Worth Backing?
At 4/7, Arsenal are deserved favourites, although the price isn’t particularly generous. Forest’s poor finishing strengthens the case for an away victory, but their recent defensive performances against Arsenal make a comfortable win harder to predict.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Statistics
Premier League figures after six matches in the 2026/27 season.
| Statistic | Nottingham Forest | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 2nd |
| Points | 5 | 15 |
| Wins, draws, defeats | 1-2-3 | 5-0-1 |
| Last five league matches | D-D-W-L-L | W-W-W-L-W |
| Goals scored | 5 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Both teams scored | 3/6 | 2/6 |
| Home/away league record | 0-1-2 | 2-0-1 |
Forest’s 10.2 xG suggests they’re creating enough opportunities to score more often. Unfortunately, five actual goals tell a very different story. Arsenal have been considerably more clinical, turning 10.8 xG into ten goals while maintaining the stronger defensive record.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Head-to-Head
Recent meetings reveal an interesting pattern: Arsenal dominate at home, but Forest have made life difficult at the City Ground.
| Date | Fixture | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 17 January 2026 | Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal | 0-0 |
| 13 September 2025 | Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest | 3-0 |
| 26 February 2025 | Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal | 0-0 |
| 23 November 2024 | Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest | 3-0 |
| 30 January 2024 | Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal | 1-2 |
Arsenal have won three of these five meetings, with the other two ending goalless. Interestingly, both draws came in Nottingham. Forest have proved they can shut Arsenal out, but their current home scoring problems make another positive result difficult to envisage.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Betting Odds
The following are pre-match full-time result prices, checked on 15 October 2026.
Arsenal are clear favourites, but I wouldn’t completely write off Forest’s chances of making the contest uncomfortable. All prices are indicative and may change before kick-off.
